EUR/GBP – 4H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.18 %
Entry
0.83485
Target
0.83807 +0.39 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.83216 −0.32 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 597 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 597 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.42 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: AO Regular Bull Div, Williams %R Regular Bull Div, Momentum Regular Bull Div +12 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
WEAK Swing
▲ Bullish 100 % (28.88) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 6.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 9 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 738 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/GBP  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/GBP

Full calendar
  • TodayGBPBoE Governor Bailey Speech●●●in 43m
  • TomorrowEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast 1.1%Previous 2.0%in 17h
  • TomorrowEURRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.1%in 20h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 9 × 4h 7%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ AO Regular Bull Div divergence 2.70
▲ Williams %R Regular Bull Div divergence 2.69
▲ Momentum Regular Bull Div divergence 2.67
▲ RSI Regular Bull Div divergence 2.64
▲ MACD Regular Bull Div divergence 2.37
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 1.98
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.89
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.79
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.70
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 1.63
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.60
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.45
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.38
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.30
▲ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.30
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.16
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.14
▲ HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.14
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.10

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Short-term bullish signals on the 4H chart suggest a potential bounce, but the broader trend is bearish.
  • Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.83807 and support at 0.83216.
  • Higher timeframes (8H to 1D) show strong bearish trends, so any upside may be limited.
  • This signal may be best for short-term trades, not long-term positions.
The EUR/GBP 4H signal is a BUY with strong probability (83%), driven by a cluster of indicators including CCI zero-cross up, BBANDS middle cross up, and DEMA retreat up, alongside a host of cycle and trend-mode signals. The immediate trend on the 4H chart is bearish, but the signal suggests a potential reversal or a counter-trend bounce. The confluence of these indicators points to short-term upward momentum, which could challenge the nearest resistance at 0.83807. However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain firmly bearish with very strong trend scores, indicating that any upside may be limited.

Traders should watch the price action around the support at 0.83216 and resistance at 0.83807. A break above resistance could signal a deeper correction, while a failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish case. The divergence between the short-term bullish signals and the longer-term bearish trend suggests caution; the signal may be best suited for short-term trades or scalping within a broader downtrend. The overall trend alignment across timeframes is mixed, with lower timeframes choppy and higher timeframes solidly bearish, which could lead to volatility and whipsaws.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicators firing in the same direction (CCI, BBANDS, DEMA) increase confidence in the short-term bullish move.
  • ▲ The signal includes divergence and indicator groups, which often precede reversals or bounces.
  • ▲ The nearest resistance is not far above, providing a clear target for a bounce.
  • ▲ The support level at 0.83216 is a strong floor that could hold and fuel upward momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The higher timeframe trend is strongly bearish, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish signal.
  • ▼ The 4H trend is bearish, so the buy signal may be counter-trend and prone to failure.
  • ▼ If the price breaks below the support at 0.83216, the bullish case is invalidated.
  • ▼ The lower timeframes are choppy, indicating weak momentum that could lead to false signals.
Symbol EUR/GBP
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 7%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-03 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83807 2026-10-28
R2 0.84020 2026-10-26
R3 0.84777 2026-10-15
S1 0.83216 2026-11-02

Tags

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