EUR/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend NEW CLOSED

2026-11-04 04:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.22 %

Entry

1.12360

Target

1.11365 +0.89 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12608 −0.22 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,019 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,019 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

21 % at target avg +0.42 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Top, STOCH KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 651 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

20:00TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 58m
07:00November 9, 2026EURTrade Balance●●○Forecast €17.6BPrevious €19.5Bin 2 days
18:00November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Topbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.14
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	1.78
▲	KST Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.23
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.13
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.09
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.01
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals (Double Top, Bearish Engulfing, momentum crosses) align on the 2H chart, pointing to a high-probability sell setup.
Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bearish, supporting the idea that the current bounce is running out of steam.
Key resistance at 1.12371 must hold; a break above would invalidate the bearish signal.
Watch support at 1.11365 — a break below would confirm downside continuation.
Lower timeframes are still bullish, so the sell signal may be a counter-trend pullback rather than a full reversal.

The 2H EUR/USD chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals — a Double Top, Bearish Engulfing candle, BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, RSX OB Entry, and HMA Retreat Down — all pointing to a loss of upside momentum and a likely shift to downside. The confluence of chart pattern, candlestick, and momentum indicators at the same time gives the signal high conviction (81% probability, strong strength). The immediate bearish case is supported by the 12H and 1D timeframes already trending down, suggesting the pullback may be part of a larger downtrend resumption.

However, the lower timeframes (15m through 4H) are still bullish, which creates a conflict and warns that the sell signal could be a counter-trend move within an ongoing bounce. The key levels to watch are resistance at 1.12371 — a break above would invalidate the bearish setup — and support at 1.11365, where a break would confirm the downtrend continuation. Until price loses the support, the sell signal remains a high-probability reversal attempt rather than a confirmed trend change.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of chart pattern, candlestick, and momentum indicators all firing bearish simultaneously.
▼ Higher timeframe trend (12H, 1D) is bearish, aligning with the 2H sell signal.
▼ Strong trend score and high probability (81%) suggest robust signal quality.
▼ Bearish momentum indicators (BOP, RSI, STOCH) confirm fading buying pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m to 4H) are still bullish, which could mean the sell signal is a counter-trend move within a larger bounce.
▲ A break above resistance at 1.12371 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The 8H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear directional conviction.
▲ If the bullish momentum on lower timeframes persists, the sell signal may fail and price could consolidate instead of dropping.