GBP/JPY – 8H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 5× UPDATED

2026-11-03 22:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.57 %

Entry

212.709

Target

209.117 +1.69 %

closes in profit

Stop

217.464 −2.24 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 339 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 339 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.65 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.62 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, Bearish Harami +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 6 % (2.45) ▼ Bearish 94 % (37.54)

model score 93.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 983 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/JPY

Full calendar

23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 3 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 3 days
23:50November 9, 2026JPYBoJ Summary of Opinions●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.48
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.18
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.96
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 8H chart suggest a potential reversal, but the broader trend is still bullish.
Key resistance at 217.46400 is the invalidation level; a break above would negate the bearish setup.
Support at 209.11700 is the primary downside target, but the bullish trend may limit the fall.
The signal strength is strong (78% probability), yet higher timeframes are choppy, adding uncertainty.

The GBP/JPY 8H chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend, Bearish Harami, Gapping Down Doji, and Tweezers Top. These signals indicate a potential shift from bullish momentum to bearish pressure, with the candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami, Gapping Down Doji, Tweezers Top) reinforcing the indicator-based signals (BOP, STOCHF, HT TRENDMODE). The confluence of these signals at the 8H timeframe suggests a meaningful bearish reversal attempt.

However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across all timeframes, with scores ranging from 1/5 to 3/5. The 8H trend is forming (2/5), and higher timeframes like 12H and 1D are choppy/sideways, which may limit the strength of the bearish move. The nearest resistance at 217.46400 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, the nearest support at 209.11700 provides a target zone. Traders should monitor whether the bearish momentum can overcome the prevailing bullish trend, especially given the strong signal strength and high probability (78%).

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of candlestick and indicator signals (BOP, STOCHF, HT TRENDMODE) strengthens the bearish case.
▼ Bearish Harami, Gapping Down Doji, and Tweezers Top are classic reversal patterns that align with the indicator signals.
▼ The 8H trend is still forming (2/5), leaving room for a shift to bearish momentum.
▼ The strong signal strength (78%) suggests high confidence in the bearish move.

Risk Factors

▲ The prevailing bullish trend across all timeframes could override the bearish signals, leading to a failed reversal.
▲ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are choppy/sideways, which may reduce directional conviction.
▲ The nearest resistance at 217.46400 is a critical level; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum could fade if the bullish trend resumes, especially given the trend scores are still positive.