USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 00:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.27 %

Entry

1.39958

Target

1.40185 +0.16 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.39502 −0.33 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,154 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,154 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 651 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TodayCADUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 6.3%Previous 6.5%in 23m
13:30TodayCADEmployment Change●●●Forecast -43.8KPrevious -68.3Kin 23m
13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 23m

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.11
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.01
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.00
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.97
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.93
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.81
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.41
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▲	Southern Doji	candlestick	1.11
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.07

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term bounce in USD/CAD.
The bounce is supported by multiple moving average retreats and a stochastic crossover, but the higher timeframe trend is mixed.
Watch the nearest resistance at 1.39968 and support at 1.39502; a break above resistance confirms, a break below support invalidates.
The overall trend is still bearish on higher timeframes, so treat this as a counter-trend move with limited upside.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Up and a STOCHF KD Cross Up, supported by multiple moving average retreats (EMA 200, KAMA, MA, SMA 200) and a BIAS Zero Cross Down. These indicators suggest that downside momentum is fading and that buyers are stepping in at current levels, likely initiating a short-term bounce. The candlestick component adds confluence, reinforcing the idea that a reversal may be underway.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15-minute and daily charts are bearish and solid, while the 1-hour and 2-hour charts show bullish or sideways tendencies. This creates a conflict, but the 30-minute signal is the primary focus, and the alignment of multiple indicators on this timeframe suggests a tradable bounce. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.39968, which could cap upside, and the nearest support at 1.39502, which must hold to keep the bullish case intact. A break above resistance would strengthen the signal, while a loss of support would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, moving averages) aligned on the same timeframe, increasing signal reliability.
▲ Candlestick pattern adds confluence, supporting a reversal scenario.
▲ The signal probability is 71% with moderate strength, indicating a reasonable edge.
▲ The 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes show bullish or sideways tendencies, which may support a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (15m, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, which could overwhelm the 30-minute bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 1.39968 is close, limiting upside potential and increasing the risk of a failed breakout.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 1.39502, the bullish signal would be invalidated, and downside could resume.
▼ Momentum from the stochastic and BOP crossovers may fade quickly in a counter-trend move.