USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-11-04 18:30 UTC 13 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %

Entry

1.39729

Target

1.40145 +0.30 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.39296 −0.31 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Stoch Regular Bull Div, MACD Hist Regular Bull Div, EMA 50 Break Up +14 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping

▲ Bullish 100 % (57.92) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 616 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 18h
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 18h
13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 18h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 19:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Stoch Regular Bull Div	divergence	3.33
▲	MACD Hist Regular Bull Div	divergence	3.09
▲	EMA 50 Break Up	indicator	2.50
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.42
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.01
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.99
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.98
▲	TSI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.97
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.96
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.96
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.96
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.92
▲	MACD Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.32
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	0.99

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term bounce in USD/CAD.
The broader trend is bearish across higher timeframes, so treat this as a counter-trend move.
Watch the 1.40145 resistance and 1.39296 support as the key levels for direction.
A break below 1.39296 would invalidate the bullish signal.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including APO Zero Cross Up, MACD Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, and multiple moving-average retreats and breakouts (EMA 50 Break Up, DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up). This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to strong short-term buying pressure, with the signal probability rated at 100% and strength very strong. The 30-minute timeframe itself is turning bullish with a trend forming, but the broader picture remains bearish across the 1-hour through 8-hour timeframes, and the daily is in a solid downtrend. This suggests the current bullish move is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure.

Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 1.40145 and support at 1.39296. A break above resistance could extend the bounce, while a failure near that level may reinforce the bearish trend. The mixed higher-timeframe outlook warrants caution, as the bullish signals are isolated to the lower timeframe and may lack follow-through. The invalidation level for this bullish signal is the nearest support at 1.39296; a close below that would negate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Strong convergence of multiple momentum and trend indicators on the 30-minute chart.
▲ The 30-minute trend is turning bullish, providing a supportive lower-timeframe backdrop.
▲ The signal strength is rated 'very strong' with 100% probability, indicating high conviction.
▲ The bounce is occurring after a period of bearish momentum, which can lead to sharp reversals.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (1H to 8H) are all bearish, which may cap upside and favor a resumption of the downtrend.
▼ The daily trend is solidly bearish, suggesting the bounce could be short-lived.
▼ Immediate resistance at 1.40145 may stall the rally, especially if it aligns with a daily pivot or previous support-turned-resistance.
▼ If the price fails to hold above 1.39296, the bullish signal would be invalidated and the downtrend could accelerate.