USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
58 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %
Entry
158.726
Target
159.017 +0.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
157.752 −0.61 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,848 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,848 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: CCI OB Exit, ALMA Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
46.9 % ↓ −12.4 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping
▲ Bullish 90 % (42.25) ▼ Bearish 10 % (4.54)
model score 46.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 14h
  • TomorrowUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 15h
  • TomorrowUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 15h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 21:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.58
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 2.33
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.28
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.23
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.23
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.22
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.19
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.17
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.17
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.13
▲ STOCH OB Exit indicator 2.10
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.68
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.68
▼ STC Level Cross Down indicator 1.55
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.31
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 1.26
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.16

Trend Context

15M
UPVery strong trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish momentum on the 30-minute chart, with multiple indicators aligning for a buy.
  • Support at 157.75200 is critical; a break below would negate the signal.
  • Higher timeframes are mostly sideways, so this is a short-term trade rather than a long-term trend shift.
  • No clear resistance level, so upside targets are not predefined—use price action to manage exits.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI and STOCH oversold exits, and retreats off key moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) alongside a higher-timeframe trendline retreat. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to renewed buying pressure after a pullback, with the immediate bias firmly higher. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes both show solid to very strong bullish trends, while the 1-hour is beginning to form an uptrend, suggesting the move has room to develop.

However, the higher timeframes (2H through 8H) are only choppy/sideways bullish, and the 12H and daily are bearish, which tempers the overall conviction. The nearest support at 157.75200 is the key level to watch; a break below it would invalidate the bullish setup. Resistance is not defined, so traders should monitor price action for potential reversal zones. The high probability (90%) and very strong strength reflect the alignment of multiple indicators, but the conflicting longer-term trend warrants caution.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicator confluence: BOP, CCI, STOCH, and moving average retreats all point to buying pressure.
  • ▲ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1h supports the bullish move.
  • ▲ Support at 157.75200 provides a clear invalidation level, adding to the signal's reliability.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ The 2H to 8H trends are only choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong momentum on higher scales.
  • ▼ A break below 157.75200 would invalidate the setup and likely trigger a sharp sell-off.
  • ▼ With no defined resistance, the trade may lack clear profit targets, increasing uncertainty.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 47%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-03 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 157.75200 2026-11-03
S2 157.63400 2026-11-02
S3 157.60300 2026-11-02

Tags

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