AUD/CAD – 1D – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.55 %
Entry
0.97089
Target
0.95388 +1.75 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.99757 −2.75 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 7,445 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 7,445 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.20 % 12 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, BBANDS LOWER Break Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
WEAK Position
▲ Bullish 7 % (1.43) ▼ Bearish 93 % (19.34)
model score 8.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
AUD/CAD  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar
  • November 12, 2026CADBuilding Permits m/m●●○Forecast -5.9%Previous 8.8%in 2 days
  • November 13, 2026CADWholesale Trade m/m●●○Forecast 0.3%Previous -1.6%in 3 days
  • November 16, 2026CADCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.1%Previous 2.2%in 6 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 1d 8%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.33
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.33
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.16
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.05
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.36
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.26
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.20
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.14
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.09
▼ Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 0.95

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals fired on the daily chart, including trendline break, BOP zero cross down, and STOCHF KD cross down.
  • All timeframes from 15m to 12h are bearish, with very strong trend scores on the lower timeframes.
  • The daily trend is choppy/sideways, so the bearish move may be part of a larger range.
  • Key resistance at 0.99757 is the level to watch; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
The AUD/CAD daily chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, BBANDS Lower Break Down, DEMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, and MIDPRICE Retreat Down, among others. This confluence across indicators, trendlines, and candlestick patterns points to strong selling pressure. The trend across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with very strong bearish trends on the 15m and 30m, solid bearish trends on the 1h, 4h, and 8h, and trend forming on the 2h and 12h. However, the daily trend is choppy/sideways, suggesting that the move may be part of a larger consolidation rather than a clean breakout.

The nearest resistance is at 0.99757, which now acts as a key level to watch for any pullback. As the price breaks below the lower Bollinger Band and key moving averages, the bearish momentum is strong. The WILLR OS Entry indicates oversold conditions, but in a strong downtrend, oversold can persist. The DEMA and MIDPRICE retreats confirm the short-term bearish alignment. Traders should watch for a sustained break below the recent lows to confirm continuation, while a reclaim of the resistance level would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong confluence of multiple technical signals across indicators, trendlines, and candlesticks.
  • ▼ Bearish alignment across all timeframes, with very strong trend scores on the 15m and 30m.
  • ▼ Break below the lower Bollinger Band and key moving averages (DEMA, MIDPRICE) indicates sustained selling pressure.
  • ▼ BOP zero cross down and STOCHF KD cross down confirm weakening buying momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The daily trend is choppy/sideways (1/5), suggesting the bearish move may be limited and prone to reversal.
  • ▲ WILLR OS Entry indicates oversold conditions, which could lead to a bounce or consolidation.
  • ▲ A reclaim of the resistance at 0.99757 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger short covering.
  • ▲ The 2h and 12h trends are only 'trend forming', so momentum on those timeframes is not fully established.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 1D
Direction SELL
Conviction 8%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-04 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.99757 2026-10-09
R2 1.00125 2026-09-22

Tags

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