AUD/CAD – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend 2× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.52 %
Entry
0.97089
Target
0.96586 +0.52 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.99067 −2.04 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 634 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 634 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.45 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down +20 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/CAD  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar
  • November 12, 2026CADBuilding Permits m/m●●○Forecast -5.9%Previous 8.8%in 2 days
  • November 13, 2026CADWholesale Trade m/m●●○Forecast 0.3%Previous -1.6%in 3 days
  • November 16, 2026CADCore CPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.0%in 6 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 4 × 4h 86%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 3.13
▼ MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 3.02
▼ MIDPOINT Break Down indicator 3.01
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.65
▼ DEMA Break Down indicator 2.49
▼ MA Break Down indicator 2.49
▼ EMA Break Down indicator 2.46
▼ KAMA Break Down indicator 2.42
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.40
▼ HT TRENDLINE Break Down indicator 2.25
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.08
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 2.06
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.90
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.81
▼ RSX Midline Cross Down indicator 1.78
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.69
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.66
▼ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.64
▼ AROON Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ AROONOSC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ VORTEX Cross Down indicator 1.31
▼ COPPOCK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.26
▲ KDJ OS Entry indicator 1.06
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.03

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Massive bearish confluence: 20+ signals fired, including trendline break and multiple moving average breaks.
  • Trend is aligned across all timeframes from 15m to 8h, all bearish, with the strongest readings on the lower timeframes.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 0.99067 as a potential pivot; a break above it would invalidate the short-term bearish setup.
  • The 1-day chart is choppy, so the downside may be limited unless the daily trend turns more decisively bearish.
The AUD/CAD 4H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a cascade of momentum indicators including AROON Cross Down, AROON Strong Downtrend, AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, and MACD Signal Cross Down. The simultaneous break of the DEMA and EMA, along with the EMA 50 retreat, confirms a decisive shift in short-term structure. With over 20 signals aligning, the bearish case is exceptionally strong, and the trend is consistent across multiple timeframes, from 15-minute through 8-hour, all showing solid to very strong downtrends.

Price is now pressing against the nearest resistance at 0.99067, which is expected to act as a ceiling in the current bearish structure. The absence of a defined support level suggests that downside may be open, but traders should watch for any bounce at this resistance or a loss of momentum. The 1-day timeframe remains choppy, which could limit the depth of the move, but the overwhelming confluence on lower timeframes argues for continued downside pressure.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trendline Break Down and EMA 50 Retreat confirm a structural shift lower.
  • ▼ AROON Cross Down and Strong Downtrend indicate strong directional momentum.
  • ▼ MACD Signal Cross Down and DEMA/EMA breaks add to the bearish confluence.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h supports the continuation of the downtrend.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 1-day timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could cap the bearish move and lead to a range-bound market.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.99067 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the AROON or MACD begins to flatten, indicating a loss of downside pressure.
  • ▲ With no defined support, the move could become overextended and prone to a technical rebound.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 86%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-11-05 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.99067 2026-10-28
R2 0.99664 2026-10-14
R3 0.99757 2026-10-09

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