AUD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 16:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.93 %

Entry

0.69597

Target

0.70222 +0.90 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.68952 −0.93 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,673 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,673 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ER Level Cross Up, KDJ OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 1,018 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 6h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 6h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.89
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	1.82
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.80
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	1.78
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▲	Southern Doji	candlestick	1.22
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.02

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Buy signal fires on 1H, but the broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, indicating a potential counter-trend bounce.
Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, ER, KDJ) align for short-term bullish momentum, but EMA and Ichimoku are bearish.
Key levels: resistance at 0.70222, support at 0.69541; a break below support invalidates the bullish setup.
The signal is moderate strength with 72% probability—treat as a scalp or short-term trade rather than a trend reversal.

The AUD/USD 1H signal fires a BUY despite a predominantly bearish trend across higher timeframes. The confluence of multiple indicators—BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, ER Level Cross Up, and KDJ OS Exit—suggests short-term bullish momentum is building, likely as an oversold bounce within a larger downtrend. The candlestick patterns, Bullish Harami Cross and Southern Doji, add a reversal flavor, but the EMA 20/50 Death Cross and ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down on the 1H timeframe indicate that the broader 1H structure remains bearish.

Trend alignment is mixed: lower timeframes (15m, 30m) show strong bearish trends, while the 1H and 2H show only a forming bearish trend, and higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are choppy or forming. This divergence suggests the buy signal may be counter-trend, targeting a pullback to the nearest resistance at 0.70222, with support at 0.69541 acting as the invalidation zone. The moderate strength and 72% probability indicate a reasonable edge, but traders should be cautious given the bearish backdrop.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of bullish signals from BOP, STOCHF, ER, and KDJ suggests strong short-term buying pressure.
▲ Bullish candlestick patterns (Bullish Harami Cross, Southern Doji) indicate potential reversal at current levels.
▲ Higher timeframes show choppy/sideways conditions, which may allow for a bounce without strong opposition.
▲ The 1H trend is only 'forming' (2/5), leaving room for a bullish correction within the bearish structure.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across 15m, 30m, and 1H could overpower the counter-trend buy signal.
▼ EMA Death Cross and Ichimoku TK Cross Down on 1H argue for continued downside, conflicting with the bullish signals.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.69541 would invalidate the setup and likely accelerate selling.
▼ Momentum may fade quickly if the price fails to reach resistance, given the moderate strength of the signal.