AVAX/USDT – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −2.07 %
Entry
8.2820
Target
9.1600 +10.60 %
closes in profit
Stop
8.1107 −2.07 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 7,042 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 7,042 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +1.66 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.50 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.51 % 23 % at stop avg −2.05 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: CMO OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, RSI OS Exit +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.3 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 44.2 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 4,145 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AVAX/USDT  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3 days
  • November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 3 days
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 1h 20%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 17:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 2.96
▲ CMO OS Exit indicator 2.24
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.01
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.81
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.70
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.64
▼ KST Zero Cross Down indicator 1.55
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.35

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Oversold oscillators are turning up, signaling a possible short-term bounce.
  • The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so treat this as a counter-trend move.
  • Watch 9.16000 resistance—a break could open the door to more upside.
  • A drop below 8.28100 support would invalidate the bullish signal.
The AVA/USDT 1H signal is a cluster of oversold-exit oscillators (CMO, RSI, WILLR) and a BOP zero-cross up, indicating that selling pressure is exhausting and buying momentum is starting to return. However, the signal is weak (61% probability) and the EMA 20/50 Death Cross, along with KST zero-cross down and ER level cross down, suggest that the broader trend remains bearish. The mixed signals point to a potential short-term bounce, but not a confirmed reversal.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, with solid trend scores on the 15m and 12h, and trend forming on most others. This alignment argues against a sustained bullish move. The nearest resistance at 9.16000 is a key hurdle; a break above it could shift the bias, but until then, the bounce is likely to be capped. Support at 8.28100 is the critical invalidation zone—if price breaks below, the bounce thesis is void.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oversold exit signals (RSI, CMO, WILLR) show selling momentum is fading.
  • ▲ BOP zero cross up indicates buying pressure is starting to dominate.
  • ▲ STOCHF KD cross up adds confirmation of short-term bullish momentum.
  • ▲ Support at 8.28100 has held so far, providing a base for a bounce.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The EMA 20/50 Death Cross and KST zero cross down confirm the bearish trend, which could overpower the bounce.
  • ▼ The signal strength is weak (61%), and the 1H trend is still bearish, so the bounce may be shallow.
  • ▼ Resistance at 9.16000 is close and could cap upside before a reversal.
  • ▼ A break below 8.28100 support would invalidate the signal and likely accelerate selling.
Symbol AVAX/USDT
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 20%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-05 16:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 9.16000 2026-11-04
R2 9.16200 2026-10-28
S1 8.28100 2026-11-04
S2 8.27700 2026-11-02

Tags

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