USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 1× UPDATED

2026-11-06 18:30 UTC 44 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %

Entry

1.41287

Target

1.40523 +0.54 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.41905 −0.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,154 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,154 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle

MODERATE Scalping

▲ Bullish 19 % (2.21) ▼ Bearish 81 % (9.71)

model score 81.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 17.9 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 574 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

20:00TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 15m
18:00November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 2 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.82
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.14
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.06

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful cluster of bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term pullback is underway.
The broader trend is bullish across most timeframes, so the sell signal is likely a counter-trend move.
Key support to watch is 1.40523; a break below could open the door to a deeper correction.
The daily chart shows a bearish trend, adding a layer of complexity to the overall outlook.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, and a Tweezers Top candlestick pattern. This confluence indicates a sharp loss of upward momentum and a likely short-term reversal from an overbought state. The signals are reinforced by the ZSCORE extreme high exit, suggesting price had deviated significantly from its mean and is now mean-reverting.

However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across most timeframes, from 15-minute up to 8-hour, with the 1-hour showing a very strong trend. This creates a conflict: the immediate bearish signals are counter to the prevailing higher-timeframe direction. The only longer-term bearish alignment comes from the daily chart, which shows a solid downtrend. Therefore, this sell signal should be viewed as a counter-trend pullback within a larger bullish structure, likely targeting the nearest support at 1.40523. A break below this level could signal a deeper correction, but until then, the bullish bias remains intact.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, ER, HMA, ZSCORE) all point to downside, creating strong confluence.
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick pattern at a likely local high reinforces the bearish case.
▼ ZSCORE extreme high exit signals overbought conditions and a high probability of mean reversion.
▼ The daily timeframe is bearish, aligning with the short-term sell signal on a higher level.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1-hour trend is very strong bullish, which could overwhelm the short-term bearish signals.
▲ If price fails to break below 1.40523, the pullback may be shallow and the uptrend could resume.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly if the bullish trend across multiple timeframes reasserts itself.
▲ A break above the recent high would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a continuation higher.