AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend 1× UPDATED
50 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %
Entry
0.68668
Target
0.68540 +0.19 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.70246 −2.30 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,154 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,154 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping
▲ Bullish 2 % (1.89) ▼ Bearish 98 % (82.50)
model score 97.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
AUD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 2 days
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3 days
  • November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 19:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.24
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.11
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.11
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.11
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.11
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.05
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.52
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.43
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.02

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals (BOP, EMA, KAMA, MA, and others) are firing simultaneously on the 30-minute chart, indicating strong selling pressure.
  • Trend is bearish across all timeframes from 15 minutes to 8 hours, with the 1-hour showing the strongest trend (4/5).
  • Watch the nearest support at 0.68542 for a potential breakdown; a move above 0.70246 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • The 12-hour timeframe is choppy, which may limit the depth of the move, so manage expectations for extended downside.
The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) alongside a HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure and a unified bearish momentum across several technical families. The trend alignment is consistently bearish from the 15-minute up to the 8-hour timeframe, with the strongest conviction on the 1-hour chart (4/5 strength). The 12-hour timeframe is choppy, which could limit the depth of the move, but the overall multi-timeframe bearish structure supports the continuation of the downtrend.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.70246 and the nearest support at 0.68542. A break below the support would confirm further downside, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The combination of trend alignment and the high probability (90%) and very strong strength rating suggests a high-confidence short opportunity, but traders should remain vigilant for any signs of momentum fading or a shift in the higher-timeframe trend.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple moving-average retreats and a BOP zero cross down, all pointing to bearish momentum.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend across timeframes from 15m to 8h, with the 1-hour showing very strong trend strength.
  • ▼ High signal probability (90%) and very strong strength rating increase the reliability of the setup.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 0.70246 is well-defined, providing a clear invalidation level.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 12-hour timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could lead to range-bound price action and limit downside follow-through.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.70246 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a reversal.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the price approaches the nearest support at 0.68542, especially if that level has been tested before.
  • ▲ The trend on shorter timeframes (15m and 8h) is still forming (2/5), so the move may lack strong continuation in the near term.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 98%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-06 19:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70246 2026-11-05
R2 0.70312 2026-11-02
R3 0.70408 2026-10-30
S1 0.68542 2026-11-06

Tags

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