DOT/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −4.70 %
Entry
0.8940
Target
0.8690 +2.80 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.9660 −8.05 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.02 % per trade 2,034 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,034 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +2.66 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.77 % 21 % at stop avg −3.75 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SAR Flip Bearish, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down +26 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
39.0 % ↑ +1.1 vs previous candle
WEAK Swing
▲ Bullish 33 % (3.33) ▼ Bearish 67 % (6.89)
model score 14.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 7 candles
DOT/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for DOT/USDT

Full calendar
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%in 3 days
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3 days
  • November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 4h 14%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 16:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ SAR Flip Bearish indicator 2.28
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.19
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.02
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.91
▼ DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.90
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.90
▲ DX Trend Strong indicator 1.84
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.79
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.77
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.67
▼ DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.67
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.67
▼ MAMA Cross Down indicator 1.66
▼ RSX Midline Cross Down indicator 1.59
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.54
▼ VORTEX Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ AROON Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ AROONOSC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.36
▼ AO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.34
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.32
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.32
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.25
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.20
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.16
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.16
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.16
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.10
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.09
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.08
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.86

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals on the 4H chart align with a consistent bearish trend across all timeframes.
  • Nearest support at 0.86900 is the key downside target; a break below it would confirm the downtrend.
  • Resistance at 0.96600 is the invalidation level; a break above it would negate the bearish setup.
  • The signal is very strong (91% probability), but the 4H trend is still choppy, so confirmation is key.
The 4H chart for DOT/USDT has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including AROON Cross Down, AROON Strong Downtrend, AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, DI CROSS Cross Down, DM CROSS Cross Down, and DX Trend Strong, among over 25 additional signals. This confluence across momentum, trend strength, and candlestick patterns points to a well-established bearish bias on the 4H timeframe. The trend alignment across timeframes is consistently bearish, from the 15-minute up to the daily chart, although the shorter timeframes show a more solid trend while the 4H itself remains choppy/sideways, suggesting the move is still developing.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.96600 and support at 0.86900. A break below the support would confirm the continuation of the downtrend, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish signal. The high probability (91%) and very strong strength underscore the conviction behind the signal, but the mixed trend scores on the 2H and 4H timeframes warrant caution, as a choppy market can lead to false breakouts. Traders should monitor price action at these levels for confirmation.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of over 25 signals across indicator and candlestick groups.
  • ▼ Bearish trend alignment across all timeframes, from 15m to 1d.
  • ▼ Strong trend scores (DX Trend Strong) and multiple zero-cross downs (BOP, CMO, AROONOSC) indicate momentum shift.
  • ▼ Nearest support is well below current price, providing room for a potential move down.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 4H and 2H timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could lead to false signals or range-bound price action.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.96600 would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ Momentum may be fading as the trend is still forming on higher timeframes (1d only 2/5).
  • ▲ Watch for a potential bounce at support; if support holds, the downtrend may stall.
Symbol DOT/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 14%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-05 12:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.96600 2026-11-02
R2 1.04300 2026-10-28
R3 1.20300 2026-10-23
S1 0.86900 2026-10-30

Tags

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