EUR/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW
48 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %
Entry
1.11536
Target
1.12682 +1.03 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.11044 −0.44 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,632 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,632 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: CMO OS Exit, Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), RSI OS Exit +10 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +6% Intraday
▲ Bullish 93 % (20.38) ▼ Bearish 7 % (1.51)
model score 93.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 17.9 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 574 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 2h
  • November 9, 2026EURTrade Balance●●○Forecast €17.6BPrevious €19.5Bin 2 days
  • November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CMO OS Exit indicator 1.94
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.85
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.84
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.68
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.66
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.64
▲ ADXR Trend Strong indicator 1.59
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.51
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.41
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.39
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.36
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.00
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 0.98
▲ Tweezers Bottom candlestick 0.97

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong bullish reversal signal has fired on the 1H chart, with multiple oscillators exiting oversold conditions and trend strength confirming momentum.
  • The nearest resistance at 1.12682 is the immediate upside target; a break above could signal a larger reversal.
  • The nearest support at 1.11365 is the key invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish setup.
  • Higher timeframes are mostly bearish, so this may be a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
  • The daily trend is bullish, offering some long-term support for the bullish case.
The EUR/USD 1H signal has fired a cluster of bullish oscillators and trend indicators, including ADXR Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, RSI OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, ER Level Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Up, and HMA Retreat Up, alongside additional signals from Fibonacci, candlestick, and indicator groups. This confluence suggests that downside momentum is exhausting and a short-term bullish reversal is likely, with the nearest resistance at 1.12682 and support at 1.11365.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While lower timeframes (15m to 1h) show solid bearish trends, higher timeframes (2h to 8h) are forming bearish trends, and the 12h is choppy/sideways. Only the daily timeframe is bullish. This divergence implies that the bullish signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure. Traders should watch whether price can reclaim resistance levels and shift the higher timeframe bias, or if the bearish trend resumes.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Strong confluence of bullish signals across multiple indicator groups (oscillators, trend, candlestick, Fibonacci).
  • ▲ Oscillators (RSI, CMO, WILLR) are exiting oversold conditions, suggesting selling pressure is exhausting.
  • ▲ BOP zero cross up and SMI signal cross up indicate improving buying pressure.
  • ▲ The daily timeframe is bullish, providing a longer-term backdrop that could support a reversal.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2H to 8H) are bearish, which could overwhelm the 1H bullish signal and lead to a continuation lower.
  • ▼ The 12H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear directional commitment.
  • ▼ If price fails to hold above the nearest support at 1.11365, the bullish setup is invalidated.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 1.12682 may cap upside if the broader downtrend resumes.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-06 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12682 2026-11-05
R2 1.12731 2026-11-04
S1 1.11365 2026-10-30
S2 1.11044 2026-10-29

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