ETH/USDT – 12H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 1× UPDATED

2026-11-05 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +7.53 %

Entry

2,421.00

Target

2,174.08 +10.20 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,526.62 −4.36 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.08 % per trade 764 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 764 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

23 % at target avg +5.13 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.71 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.78 % 17 % at stop avg −6.06 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 50 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 23 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Down, KDJ OB Entry, STOCHF KD Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

51.0 % ↓ −9.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 23 % (11.44) ▼ Bearish 77 % (37.74)

model score 49.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.3 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 44.2 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 4,145 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for ETH/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 37m
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 37m
13:30TodayUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 37m

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 12:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▼	KDJ OB Entry	indicator	1.24
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.96
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.84

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals are counter to the broader bullish trend, suggesting a pullback rather than a reversal.
Overbought conditions (KDJ OB Entry) and fading momentum (BOP, STOCHF) support a short-term downside move.
Key support at 2174.08 is the critical level to watch; a break below could confirm further downside.
Resistance at 2526.62 remains the invalidation zone for bearish plays.

The SELL signal on ETH/USDT at the 12H timeframe is driven by a cluster of indicators and candlestick patterns, yet it stands in contrast to the prevailing bullish trend across all timeframes. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down suggest deteriorating buying pressure and short-term momentum, while the KDJ OB Entry flags overbought conditions. However, the COPPOCK Zero Cross Up and SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up indicate a potential longer-term bullish momentum and a breakout from a squeeze, which conflict with the bearish signal. The Long Legged Doji and Bearish Harami Cross add caution, hinting at indecision and possible reversal, but their weight is limited given the weak strength and 56% probability.

Trend alignment is predominantly bullish, with solid trends on the 1H and 12H, and forming trends on 2H, 4H, 8H, and 1D. Only the 15M and 30M are choppy but still bullish. This means the bearish signal is a counter-trend move, likely a pullback rather than a reversal. Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 2526.62 and support at 2174.08. A break below support would strengthen the bearish case, while holding above resistance could invalidate the downside. Given the weak signal and bullish backdrop, traders should treat this as a short-term correction opportunity with tight risk management.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicators (BOP, STOCHF) and candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami Cross, Long Legged Doji) align for a short-term sell.
▼ Overbought conditions on KDJ increase the likelihood of a pullback.
▼ Weak trend strength on lower timeframes (15M, 30M) may allow a temporary bearish move.

Risk Factors

▲ Strong bullish trend on higher timeframes (1H, 12H) could overpower the bearish signal, leading to a failed breakdown.
▲ COPPOCK Zero Cross Up and SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up indicate bullish momentum, conflicting with the sell signal.
▲ If price holds above resistance at 2526.62, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Low probability (56%) and weak strength suggest limited conviction; avoid overleveraging.