EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
6 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %
Entry
177.908
Target
177.150 +0.43 %
closes in profit
Stop
178.482 −0.32 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Williams %R Regular Bear Div, HMA Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
55.7 % – first candle
MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +7% Scalping
▲ Bullish 29 % (13.53) ▼ Bearish 71 % (32.42)
model score 70.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 2h
  • TomorrowEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 9h
  • TomorrowEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 9h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 21:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Williams %R Regular Bear Div divergence 2.85
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 2.47
▲ AO Saucer Bullish indicator 2.35
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.34
▼ MACD Regular Bear Div divergence 2.29
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.27
▼ AO Regular Bear Div divergence 2.22
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.05
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.99
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.99
▲ FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 1.67
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.66
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.64
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.59
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.59
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.59
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.45
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.29
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.29
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.26
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.96
▼ Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 0.71

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Short-term bearish momentum is building on the 30M timeframe, but it's a correction within a broader bullish trend on higher timeframes.
  • Watch the 177.15000 support level; a break below could accelerate the decline, while a bounce could lead to a retest of 178.48200 resistance.
  • The mix of upward momentum crosses and downward RSI/Stochastic crosses suggests the pullback may be shallow unless support breaks.
  • Higher timeframe bullishness (1H-12H) is the main counter-trend force; the signal is best treated as a counter-trend scalp.
The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and STOCHF KD Cross Down, alongside multiple momentum oscillators (CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing upward. While the momentum crosses are upward, the dominant volume and RSI/Stochastic crosses are downward, indicating that the recent bounce is losing steam and that sellers are regaining control on the short-term timeframe. The confluence of candlestick, indicator, and divergence signals adds weight to the bearish case, but the signal's moderate strength and 70% probability suggest a tradable pullback rather than a full trend reversal.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed. The 15-minute and 30-minute charts are bearish and trend-forming, aligning with the sell signal, but the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, with the 1H and 4H choppy/sideways. This suggests the bearish move is a correction within a larger uptrend. The daily chart is bearish, offering some longer-term support for downside. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 178.48200 and nearest support at 177.15000. A break below support would confirm the bearish correction, while a move above resistance would invalidate the signal and signal a resumption of the broader uptrend.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicator groups (candlestick, indicator, divergence) firing together adds confluence to the bearish signal.
  • ▼ RSI Midline Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down confirm loss of short-term bullish momentum.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure is overtaking buying pressure.
  • ▼ The 15M and 30M timeframes are both bearish and trend-forming, aligning with the signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (1H-12H) are bullish, which could cap downside and lead to a quick reversal.
  • ▲ The upward crosses in CCI, MOM, ROC, and ROCR suggest the immediate momentum is actually turning up, conflicting with the bearish signal.
  • ▲ If price breaks above 178.48200 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated and the broader uptrend likely resumes.
  • ▲ The signal is moderate strength with only a 70% probability, leaving room for failure; consider tight risk management.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 71%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-11-04 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 178.48200 2026-11-04
S1 177.15000 2026-11-04
S2 176.37800 2026-11-03
S3 175.51300 2026-11-02

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