EUR/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 12:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.06 %

Entry

1.12252

Target

1.12682 +0.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.11839 −0.37 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CCI OS Exit, EMA 200 Retreat Up, KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat +8 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 13h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.6%in 13h
13:30TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 13h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.72
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.68
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.65
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.63
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.63
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.54
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.49
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.24
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on the 30m chart with 87% probability and very strong trend strength.
Multiple oversold and momentum signals (CCI, STOCH, BOP) align for a bounce.
Higher timeframes (2h to 1d) are bullish, supporting a counter-trend move within the larger uptrend.
Key levels: resistance at 1.12682, support at 1.12131.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a very strong trend score and an 87% probability. The confluence of ADXR Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI and STOCH oversold exits, and retreats off both the EMA 200 and SMA 200 all point to a momentum shift from the prevailing short-term bearish drift. The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down add a cycle-based confirmation that the corrective down-move may be exhausting.

While the 15m and 30m timeframes are still technically bearish, the broader structure is supportive: the 2h through 12h charts are all bullish trend-forming, and the 1d chart shows a solid bullish trend. This suggests the 30m signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger uptrend, likely aiming for the nearest resistance at 1.12682. A sustained push above that level would confirm the bullish reversal, while a break below the nearest support at 1.12131 would invalidate the setup and signal that the correction is extending.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple signals: ADXR Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI and STOCH oversold exits, and EMA/SMA 200 retreats.
▲ Higher timeframe alignment: 2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d all bullish, providing a supportive backdrop.
▲ Cycle-based confirmation from HT PHASOR and ER Level Cross Down suggests the corrective move is ending.
▲ Holding above the nearest support at 1.12131 keeps the bullish setup intact.

Risk Factors

▼ The 15m and 30m timeframes are still bearish; if the short-term trend persists, the bounce could fail.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.12131 would invalidate the bullish signal and signal further downside.
▼ The 1h timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear momentum that could lead to a false breakout.
▼ Resistance at 1.12682 is a nearby level that could cap gains if the bounce loses steam.