NZD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-05 13:00 UTC 6 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.00 %

Entry

0.56226

Target

0.55810 +0.74 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56581 −0.63 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,031 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,031 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Rising Wedge, Trendline Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +16% Scalping

▲ Bullish 5 % (1.52) ▼ Bearish 95 % (32.00)

model score 95.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 23h
13:30TomorrowUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 23h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 23h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Rising Wedgebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.51
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.37
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.52

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart with multiple confirmations.
Resistance at 0.56581 is the key invalidation level.
Support at 0.56155 is the immediate downside target.
Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are still bullish, so this may be a pullback.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, a Rising Wedge pattern, and multiple moving-average retreats (BBANDS, DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA). This confluence indicates strong selling pressure and a high-probability short-term bearish move. The bearish alignment across the 15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, and daily timeframes reinforces the downward momentum, while the 2-hour, 4-hour, and 8-hour timeframes remain bullish, suggesting this is a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend. The immediate resistance at 0.56581 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish thesis. The nearest support at 0.56155 is the first downside target, and a break below could accelerate selling.

The signal's very strong strength and high probability are supported by the sheer number of indicators aligning bearishly. The Rising Wedge pattern, typically a bearish reversal signal, combined with the trendline break, adds technical weight. The retreats of multiple moving averages indicate that price has fallen below these dynamic levels, confirming bearish momentum. However, the conflicting higher-timeframe bullish trends (2H, 4H, 8H) pose a risk that this sell-off may be limited. Traders should monitor the 0.56581 resistance closely; a reclaim would negate the signal, while a sustained move below 0.56155 could open the door for further downside. Overall, the short-term bias is clearly bearish, but caution is advised given the mixed higher-timeframe picture.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of bearish signals: Trendline Break Down, Rising Wedge, and multiple moving-average retreats.
▼ Bearish trend alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, and daily timeframes.
▼ Very strong signal strength and 95% probability rating.
▼ Price retreating from upper Bollinger Band and DEMA/EMA, indicating momentum shift.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe (2H, 4H, 8H) bullish trends could limit downside.
▲ A break above 0.56581 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Potential for a bounce at support 0.56155, especially if higher timeframe buyers step in.
▲ Momentum could fade if the 30-minute trend score (2/5) does not strengthen.