SOL/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-05 04:00 UTC 13 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.19 %

Entry

95.900

Target

92.340 +3.71 %

closes in profit

Stop

103.850 −8.29 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,979 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,979 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.61 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.78 % 21 % at stop avg −3.72 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 40 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, VIDYA Retreat Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

62.9 % – first candle

STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 16 % (1.48) ▼ Bearish 84 % (7.97)

model score 84.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.8 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 26.6 % vs 22.7 % (crypto, 3,077 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for SOL/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 5h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 08:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	VIDYA Retreat Down	indicator	1.61
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.17

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish 4H signal with high probability (84%) and strong strength, but conflicting bullish lower timeframes.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are solidly bearish, supporting the sell signal.
Watch for a break below 92.34 support to confirm the bearish move; a move above 103.85 would invalidate.
Multiple indicators (APO, BOP, STOCHF, BBANDS, HMA, VIDYA) align on the 4H chart for a downside move.

The 4H SELL signal on SOL/USDT is firing against a backdrop of bullish momentum across the lower timeframes (15m through 4H), but the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are all in solid bearish trends. This creates a clear conflict: the immediate trend is bullish, yet the dominant longer-term trend is bearish. The confluence of six indicators on the 4H chart—APO Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and retreats from the upper Bollinger Band, HMA, and VIDYA—suggests that the recent upward push is losing steam and that sellers are reasserting control at the upper end of the range. The signal's high probability (84%) and strong strength add weight to the bearish case, but the bullish lower timeframes could delay or invalidate the move.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 103.85000 and support at 92.34000. A break below the support would confirm the bearish bias and align with the higher timeframe trends, while a sustained move above resistance would invalidate the signal and signal a potential trend reversal. Traders should monitor price action around these levels, as a failure to hold support could accelerate the decline, while a bounce off support might indicate that the bullish lower timeframes are still in control.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish trends on higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) align with the 4H sell signal.
▼ Confluence of six indicators on the 4H chart all pointing to bearish momentum.
▼ High probability (84%) and strong strength increase the signal's reliability.
▼ Retreat from upper Bollinger Band and key moving averages suggests overbought conditions.

Risk Factors

▲ Bullish momentum on lower timeframes (15m-4H) could delay or override the bearish signal.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 103.85 would invalidate the signal and signal a trend reversal.
▲ Choppy/sideways action on the 15m timeframe indicates indecision and potential for false signals.
▲ If the price fails to break below support, the bearish trend may be losing momentum.