USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 16:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.23 %

Entry

157.766

Target

157.397 +0.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.674 −0.58 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Break Down, ALMA Retreat Down, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout +15 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%in 6h
13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 6h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.34
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.26
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.22
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.20
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.09
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.76
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.52
▼	QQE Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.37
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	1.34
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.14
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals fired on the 30-minute chart, indicating strong short-term selling pressure.
Trend is clearly bearish on the 15m and 30m timeframes, but higher timeframes are mostly sideways.
Watch for a break below 157.397 support to confirm further downside, or a move above 158.674 to invalidate.
The signal is very strong with high probability, but higher timeframe choppiness warrants caution.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR oversold entry, and a break below the lower Bollinger Band. The confluence of momentum, volatility, and trend-following indicators (DEMA, EMA, KAMA retreats) points to strong selling pressure at the time of the signal. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes confirm a solid bearish trend, while higher timeframes are mostly choppy or sideways, suggesting the move is primarily a short-term correction within a broader range.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 158.674 and support at 157.397. A break below support could extend the decline, while a rebound above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The signal's high probability (92%) and very strong strength reflect the alignment of multiple indicators, but traders should remain cautious given the lack of trend confirmation on higher timeframes.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 20+ bearish signals across momentum, volatility, and trend indicators.
▼ Strong bearish trend on 15m and 30m timeframes (trend scores 4/5 and 3/5).
▼ Break below the lower Bollinger Band suggests increased downside volatility.
▼ Fibonacci and candlestick patterns align with the bearish direction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1h and above) are choppy or sideways, lacking strong trend support.
▲ The 4-hour timeframe is bullish, which could limit downside potential.
▲ A close back above the lower Bollinger Band or resistance at 158.674 would weaken the bearish case.
▲ Momentum may fade quickly given the oversold conditions (WILLR OS entry).