AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 23:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.53 %

Entry

109.144

Target

111.131 +1.82 %

closes in profit

Stop

108.561 −0.53 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,048 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 5 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 5 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.03
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.51
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	1.51
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.48
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.37
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.26
▲	TEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.23

Trend Context

15M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a potential short-term bounce, but the broader trend is bearish.
Multiple oversold indicators (CMO, WILLR) and bullish crossovers (STOCHF, SMI, AO) align to support a bullish move.
The nearest resistance at 111.13100 is the key level to watch; a break above could confirm the reversal.
The strong bearish trends on higher timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) pose a significant headwind to the bullish signal.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish momentum signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO oversold exit, STOCHF KD cross up, WILLR oversold exit, TEMA retreat up, HT PHASOR inphase cross down, AO saucer bullish, and SMI signal cross up. These indicators collectively suggest that buying pressure is returning after a period of oversold conditions, and that a short-term bounce or reversal may be underway. The confluence of multiple oscillators exiting oversold territory and the bullish crossover in the Awesome Oscillator point to strengthening upward momentum on the 30-minute timeframe.

However, the broader trend context remains bearish across all timeframes, with higher timeframes showing solid to extremely strong bearish trends. The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are extremely strong and very strong bearish, respectively, while the 1-hour trend is solidly bearish. This creates a conflict: the bullish signals on the 30-minute chart are counter to the prevailing downtrend. The nearest resistance at 111.13100 is a critical level to watch; a break above it could signal a more meaningful reversal, while failure to hold above the current price might see the bounce fade. The signal's high probability (90%) and very strong strength are notable, but they must be weighed against the strong bearish trend on higher timeframes.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals (BOP, CMO, STOCHF, WILLR, TEMA, HT PHASOR, AO, SMI) on the 30-minute chart.
▲ Oversold exits and bullish crossovers indicate a shift in momentum from selling to buying.
▲ The signal's very strong strength and high probability (90%) suggest robust conviction behind the move.
▲ The AO Saucer Bullish pattern often indicates the start of a new upward move.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes, especially the extremely strong 15-minute and very strong 30-minute trends, could overwhelm the bullish bounce.
▼ If the price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 111.13100, the bounce may fizzle and the downtrend could resume.
▼ The lack of a defined nearest support level means there is no clear invalidation level below the current price, making downside risk harder to gauge.
▼ Conflicting higher timeframe trends (1h solidly bearish) may cause the bounce to be short-lived.