AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-06 05:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.19 %

Entry

108.759

Target

108.549 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.131 −2.18 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, KAMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 5 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 5 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 05:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	3.37
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.46
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.45
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.31
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.94
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.21
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.13
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.95
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	0.79

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart with multiple confirming indicators.
Trend is very strong on lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) but weaker on higher timeframes.
Key resistance to watch is 111.13100; a break above would invalidate the bearish signal.
The signal is high probability (88%) but should be managed with tight risk controls.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, all aligned in the same direction. The BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, RSI OS Entry, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MAMA PRICE) indicate strong selling pressure. This is reinforced by a very strong bearish trend across the 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour timeframes, all scoring 4/5. The confluence of these signals suggests a high-probability short-term continuation to the downside.

However, the higher timeframes are less supportive. The 2-hour and 8-hour charts show only a forming trend, while the 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts are choppy or sideways. This means the bearish move is primarily a short-term phenomenon, and traders should watch for potential reversals if the price approaches the nearest resistance at 111.13100. A break above that level would invalidate the bearish setup, while a sustained move lower could target deeper support levels.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators firing in the same direction (BOP, MACD, RSI, STOCH, WILLR) create strong confluence.
▼ Moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MAMA PRICE) confirm the bearish pullback.
▼ Very strong trend scores on the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes align with the signal.
▼ The signal's high probability and strength suggest robust selling pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4h, 12h, 1d) are choppy or sideways, which may limit the downside.
▲ The nearest resistance at 111.13100 could act as a floor if price rebounds.
▲ Overbought/oversold oscillators (RSI, WILLR) may be nearing exhaustion, risking a bounce.
▲ If the price breaks above 111.13100, the bearish setup is invalidated.