AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL With the trend 3× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, EMA Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down +7 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 5 days
- November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 5 days
- November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 5 days
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Downbreak + retest | trendline | 2.61 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.42 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▲ | RSX OS Exit | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.58 |
| ▲ | CCI Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▲ | CTI OS Exit | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | Spinning Top Bearish | candlestick | 1.24 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 0.93 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- A powerful bearish signal cluster on the 30M chart, including a trendline break and multiple zero-cross momentum signals.
- The trend is strongly bearish on the lower timeframes (15m-1h), but higher timeframes are choppy, suggesting a short-term move.
- The nearest resistance at 111.13100 is the critical invalidation level; a break above it would negate the bearish setup.
- The CCI Zero Cross Up is a minor warning of a possible short-term bounce, but the overall momentum remains down.
Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent: the 15m, 30m, and 1h charts all show solid to very strong bearish trends, with the 2h and 8h trends forming in the same direction. However, higher timeframes (4h, 12h, 1d) are choppy or sideways, meaning the current move is likely a short-term correction within a larger range rather than a fresh multi-day trend. The nearest resistance at 111.13100 is the key level to watch; a break above it would weaken the bearish case, while a sustained move lower could target deeper support zones.
- ▼ Strong alignment of bearish momentum across multiple indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR, BOP) on the 30M chart.
- ▼ Trendline Break Down and EMA Retreat Down confirm the bearish structure.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trends on the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, all with strong trend scores.
- ▼ The signal cluster includes both trend and momentum groups, increasing the probability of continuation.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4h, 12h, 1d) are choppy or sideways, which could limit the downside or lead to range-bound trading.
- ▲ The CCI Zero Cross Up is a counter-signal that could indicate a short-term bounce before the downtrend resumes.
- ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 111.13100, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
- ▲ The absence of a defined nearest support means there is no clear target, increasing uncertainty.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.13100 | 2026-11-05 |
| R2 | 111.30300 | 2026-11-04 |