AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 21:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.19 %

Entry

109.233

Target

109.022 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.131 −1.74 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, Trendline Break Down, KAMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 5 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 5 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.76
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.59
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.44
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.43
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.43
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.14
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.08
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	1.32
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	1.29
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	0.97

Trend Context

15M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30M chart with multiple indicators aligned.
Lower timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H) all bearish, supporting the sell signal.
Higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) are choppy, so the trend is not yet broad-based.
Watch the nearest resistance at 111.13100; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, DEMA, KAMA, MIDPOINT, and T3 Retreat Downs, and a MAMA PRICE Break Down. The confluence of these indicators, alongside an HT SINE Zero Cross Up and ER Level Cross Down, points to a strong downward momentum shift. The bearish alignment across the 15-minute (extremely strong), 30-minute (very strong), and 1-hour (solid) timeframes reinforces the sell signal, while the 2-hour and 8-hour trends are also forming bearish structures. The nearest resistance at 111.13100 is a key level to watch; a break below this level could open the path for further downside, though the absence of a defined support level adds uncertainty.

However, the higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) are choppy or sideways, indicating that the bearish trend is not yet established on a broader scale. This divergence suggests that the current sell signal may be part of a larger consolidation rather than the start of a sustained downtrend. Traders should monitor the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes for confirmation of the bearish momentum, and watch for any reversal signals that could invalidate the setup. The invalidation level would be a break back above the nearest resistance, which would negate the bearish thesis.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple trend-following indicators (DEMA, KAMA, MIDPOINT, T3) all retreating down, confirming the bearish move.
▼ Trendline break down adds technical confluence to the sell signal.
▼ Strong trend scores on the 15M and 30M timeframes indicate robust short-term momentum.
▼ HT SINE zero cross up and ER level cross down add additional bearish confirmation.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) are choppy or sideways, which could limit the downside potential.
▲ The nearest support is not defined, so there is no clear target level, increasing uncertainty.
▲ If price breaks back above the nearest resistance at 111.13100, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the trend fails to gain traction on the 1H and 2H timeframes.