AUD/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.74 %
Entry
109.443
Target
111.564 +1.94 %
closes in profit
Stop
108.634 −0.74 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 634 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 634 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.45 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: APO Zero Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,048 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 5 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP q/q●●●Forecast 0.0%Previous 0.4%in 5 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 4h 100%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KST Signal Cross Down indicator 1.89
▼ FISHER Zero Cross Down indicator 1.57
▲ APO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.49
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.29
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.27
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.22
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.16
▲ CTI OS Entry indicator 0.88
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 0.79
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick 0.79
▲ Above The Stomach candlestick 0.70

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple 4H momentum signals (APO, BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) indicate a potential short-term bounce from oversold levels.
  • The overall trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend signal, not a reversal.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 111.564 and support at 108.634 for direction.
  • Strength is moderate (69% probability); expect limited upside unless resistance is broken.
The AUD/JPY 4H signal fires a cluster of BUY triggers, including APO Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and WILLR OS Exit, alongside CTI OS Entry and ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat. These momentum and volatility indicators suggest a potential short-term bounce from oversold conditions. However, the broader trend across all timeframes is bearish, with the 4H itself showing choppy/sideways action (trend score 1/5). The signal is therefore best interpreted as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, not a reversal.

The confluence of multiple oversold and momentum cross signals at the 4H level points to a possible retracement toward the nearest resistance at 111.564, while the nearest support at 108.634 serves as the key downside pivot. The moderate strength (69% probability) and the bearish alignment across higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 8H) argue for caution. A sustained move above the resistance could shift the medium-term bias, but until then, the bounce is likely to remain limited.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Cluster of oversold and momentum cross signals on the 4H chart (APO, BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, CTI).
  • ▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat suggests selling pressure may be exhausting.
  • ▲ Price is near a major support level (108.634), which could attract buyers.
  • ▲ Multiple indicator groups (candlestick, indicator) firing together increases signal reliability.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Strong bearish trend on lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) could overpower the bounce.
  • ▼ The 4H trend itself is choppy/sideways, lacking bullish momentum.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 108.634 would invalidate the bullish case.
  • ▼ Resistance at 111.564 is the first major hurdle; failure to reach it may lead to a fade.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-05 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.56400 2026-10-29
R2 112.61300 2026-09-18
S1 108.63400 2026-10-15

Tags

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