AUD/USD – 2H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED

2026-11-06 10:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.14 %

Entry

0.68735

Target

0.70246 +2.20 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.67860 −1.27 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 5 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,029 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,029 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

21 % at target avg +0.42 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, BOP Zero Cross Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,510 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 100 % (5.73) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 12.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 19.0 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.7 % (forex, 1,010 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

18:00November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 2 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 2 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.53
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▲	ZLMA Retreat Up	indicator	0.94
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	0.67

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish indicators on the 2H chart suggest a potential bounce, but the broader trend is bearish across all timeframes.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.70246; a break above could signal a stronger reversal, while rejection may lead to renewed downside.
The ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit and moving average retreats highlight oversold conditions, supporting a short-term long bias.
Given the bearish higher timeframes, treat this as a counter-trend trade with tight stops and quick profit targets.

The AUD/USD 2H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators—BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up, ZLMA Retreat Up, and ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit—suggesting a potential short-term reversal or bounce within a broader bearish trend. The confluence of these indicators, particularly the ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit and the retreats in the moving averages, points to oversold conditions and a possible shift in momentum. However, the trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 30m timeframe showing an extremely strong downtrend (5/5). This suggests the bullish signal may be counter-trend, likely a corrective bounce rather than a full reversal.

Key resistance is at 0.70246, which is the nearest ceiling and a critical level to watch. If price fails to break above this level, the bearish trend could resume. The absence of a defined support level adds uncertainty, as there is no clear floor to gauge downside risk. Traders should treat this as a high-probability short-term long opportunity, but with the understanding that the larger trend is down. The signal's strength and confluence provide a reasonable edge for a bounce, but the bearish higher timeframes argue for caution and tight risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of five bullish indicators on the 2H chart, including BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up, signals strong buying pressure.
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicates price is statistically oversold, often preceding a bounce.
▲ HMA and ZLMA retreats suggest the moving averages are curling upward, hinting at a potential short-term trend shift.
▲ The signal's high probability (100%) and very strong strength suggest robust alignment among the indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ All timeframes are bearish, with the 30m showing an extremely strong downtrend; this bullish signal may be a mere correction within a larger downtrend.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.70246 is a key barrier; failure to break it could invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ No defined support level means downside risk is unclear, making it harder to set logical stop-losses.
▼ Momentum could fade quickly if higher timeframe selling pressure resumes, especially given the 12h chart is choppy/sideways.