AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-06 04:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.50 %

Entry

0.68994

Target

0.70246 +1.81 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.68652 −0.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KDJ OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, ULTOSC OS Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,048 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30November 12, 2026USDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00November 12, 2026USDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.83
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	ULTOSC OS Exit	indicator	1.62
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.17
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.05

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple oversold oscillators and a bullish engulfing pattern suggest short-term buying pressure.
The overall trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.70246; a break above may indicate a stronger recovery.
Use tight risk management as the bearish trend could resume at any time.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern and multiple oscillator exits from oversold conditions (STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, ULTOSC OS Exit, KDJ OS Exit). The BOP Zero Cross Up and HMA Retreat Up further confirm buying pressure, while the ER Level Cross Down indicates a shift in market efficiency. Despite an overarching bearish trend across all timeframes, the confluence of these signals suggests a potential short-term bounce or corrective move higher.

However, the higher timeframe trend remains firmly bearish, with very strong trend scores on the 15m, 30m, and 1h charts, and solid bearishness on the 2h. This suggests that any upside is likely to be a counter-trend retracement rather than a reversal. The nearest resistance at 0.70246 is a critical level to watch; a break above could signal a stronger recovery, while failure to hold gains could see the pair resume its downtrend. Traders should approach this signal with caution, as the bearish macro context may limit upside potential.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals (candlestick and indicator groups) increases signal reliability.
▲ Oscillator exits from oversold conditions (STOCHRSI, ULTOSC, KDJ) suggest momentum is turning upward.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and HMA Retreat Up confirm buying pressure and price action alignment.
▲ High probability (88%) and very strong strength rating support the immediate bullish case.

Risk Factors

▼ Strong bearish trend on lower timeframes (15m-1h) could overwhelm the bullish signals.
▼ The 4h and 1d timeframes still show bearish trends, indicating a larger downtrend may persist.
▼ Failure to break above the 0.70246 resistance could invalidate the bounce and lead to a continuation lower.
▼ Momentum could fade quickly if the bullish signals are merely a short-term oversold correction.