BTC/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend 2× UPDATED

2026-11-06 20:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %

Entry

75,844.00

Target

75,153.19 +0.91 %

closes in profit

Stop

81,196.01 −7.06 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,091 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,091 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.63 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.73 % 21 % at stop avg −3.74 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, Gapping Down Doji

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,887 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −11.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (14.15)

model score 3.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%in 2 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 2 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.62
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.25
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.85

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals (BOP, STOCHF, RSX, candlestick) align on the 4H, suggesting continued downside pressure.
Trend alignment across 1H, 2H, and 4H supports the bearish view, but lower timeframes are choppy, reducing conviction.
Watch the nearest resistance at 81196.01; a rejection there reinforces the bearish case, while a break above would weaken it.
Signal strength is weak (62%), so treat the move as a low-probability trade and manage risk accordingly.

The 4H chart for BTC/USDT is flashing a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, a STOCHF KD Cross Down, an RSX OS Entry, and a Gapping Down Doji, all within a CHOP Trending environment. The confluence of these signals points to weakening buying pressure and a potential shift toward downside momentum. The bearish alignment is supported by the trend across multiple timeframes, with the 1H, 2H, and 4H all showing solid bearish trends (3/5), while the 15M and 30M are choppy, indicating a lack of sustained bullish conviction. The nearest resistance sits at 81196.01, which is a critical level to watch for any bounce or rejection.

Given the weak signal strength (62% probability) and the mixed picture on lower timeframes, the bearish case is not overwhelming. The RSX OS Entry suggests the market may already be oversold, which could lead to a bounce or consolidation before further downside. Traders should monitor the price action around the resistance level and watch for any signs of bullish reversal, such as a higher low or a break above resistance, which would invalidate the bearish thesis. The lack of a defined support level adds uncertainty, so risk management is crucial.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of bearish signals: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and Gapping Down Doji all point to selling pressure.
▼ Bearish trend alignment across 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes (all 3/5) provides a consistent backdrop.
▼ CHOP Trending indicates the market is in a trending phase, which can amplify directional moves.
▼ The RSX OS Entry suggests momentum is already favoring the downside, though oversold conditions may limit further decline.

Risk Factors

▲ Weak signal strength (62%) and low probability reduce the reliability of the bearish setup.
▲ RSX OS Entry indicates oversold conditions, which could trigger a bounce or consolidation, stalling the downtrend.
▲ Choppy action on 15M and 30M timeframes (1/5) shows a lack of clear direction in the short term, potentially leading to whipsaws.
▲ No defined support level means the downside could be open, but also means there is no clear target, increasing uncertainty.