BTC/USDT – 8H – SELL

SELL With the trend 1× UPDATED

2026-11-06 16:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %

Entry

75,844.00

Target

74,967.97 +1.16 %

closes in profit

Stop

81,971.00 −8.08 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 10

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.18 % per trade 1,133 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,133 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

27 % at target avg +3.93 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.28 % 27 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.55 % 21 % at stop avg −5.22 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 50 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 27 of 100 across all crypto 8h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Descending Triangle, TEMA Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,887 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −3.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 10 % (1.36) ▼ Bearish 90 % (11.66)

model score 8.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%in 2 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 2 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Descending Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.53
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.26
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.82
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.54
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.21

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 8H with 76% probability, backed by multiple indicators and a Descending Triangle.
Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) show solid downtrends, reinforcing the sell bias.
Watch support at 74967.97; a break below could trigger further downside.
Resistance at 81971.00 is the key invalidation level for the bearish thesis.

The 8H chart for BTC/USDT has triggered a SELL signal with a 76% probability and strong strength, driven by a confluence of bearish signals. The Descending Triangle pattern, a classic bearish continuation setup, is supported by multiple indicators: the BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure, the TEMA Retreat Down and ALMA Retreat Down confirm downward momentum, and the HT SINE Cross Down adds a cyclical bearish element. The CCI OS Exit and STOCH KD Cross Up suggest a short-term bounce within the broader downtrend, while the BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up signals a pullback from oversold conditions, which could offer a better entry for sellers.

Trend alignment across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with solid trends on the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts, and trend-forming bearishness on the 8H, 12H, and 1D. The 15M and 30M are mixed, but the higher timeframes dominate the bias. Key levels to watch are resistance at 81971.00 and support at 74967.97. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Descending Triangle pattern is a well-known bearish continuation signal.
▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, TEMA, ALMA, HT SINE) align in the bearish direction.
▼ Solid trend scores on 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes support the signal.
▼ Price is below nearest resistance, with support not yet tested.

Risk Factors

▲ If price rises above 81971.00, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Short-term oversold conditions (CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up) could lead to a bounce.
▲ Mixed signals on 15M and 30M timeframes may cause choppy price action.
▲ Trend on higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) is only forming, not yet solid, so momentum could fade.