EUR/AUD – 2H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend NEW CLOSED

2026-11-06 00:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.56 %

Entry

1.61756

Target

1.58413 +2.07 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.62660 −0.56 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,060 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,060 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.42 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.23 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, HMA Direction Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,048 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar

07:00TomorrowEURCPI y/y●●●in 14h
07:00TomorrowEURCPI m/m●●●in 14h
09:00November 12, 2026EURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.33
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.04
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.00
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.97
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.97
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.87
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.65
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.49
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.30

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple overbought exits and a BOP zero cross down signal a high-probability bearish pullback on the 2H chart.
The broader trend is bullish across all timeframes, so this sell signal is likely a correction, not a reversal.
Watch the 1.58413 support: a break below it could extend the decline, while holding it may lead to a bullish resumption.
The nearest resistance at 1.62660 is the level to beat for any upside continuation.

The EUR/AUD 2H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP zero cross down, CCI and RSI exits from overbought territory, a stochastic cross down, and a retreat from the upper Keltner channel. This confluence suggests that the recent upward move has lost momentum and that a corrective pullback is underway. The HMA direction has also turned down, confirming the short-term bearish shift.

However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across all timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily, with trend scores weakening from solid (3/5) on lower timeframes to forming (2/5) on higher ones. This implies that the bearish signal is likely a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. The nearest resistance at 1.62660 caps upside, while support at 1.58413 is a key level to watch; a break below that would signal a deeper correction, whereas holding above it could allow the bullish trend to resume.

Catalysts

▼ A dense cluster of bearish signals (BOP, CCI, RSI, STOCH, HMA, Keltner) increases confidence in the move.
▼ The HMA direction down and Keltner upper retreat confirm that momentum is fading.
▼ The 2H chart shows a strong trend score (77% probability) with a strong signal strength.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bullish, which could absorb the bearish pressure and lead to a quick bounce.
▲ The 1D trend is choppy/sideways, indicating that the overall market lacks a clear direction.
▲ If price holds above the 1.58413 support, the bearish move may stall and reverse upward.
▲ The bullish trend on lower timeframes (15m-1H) is solid, suggesting that the pullback might be shallow.