EUR/CHF – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 1× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.34 %
Entry
0.91609
Target
0.92621 +1.10 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.91300 −0.34 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 620 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 620 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.45 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, Long Line Bullish +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,510 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 19.0 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.7 % (forex, 1,010 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/CHF  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/CHF

Full calendar
  • November 9, 2026EURTrade Balance●●○Forecast €17.6BPrevious €19.5Bin 1 day
  • November 11, 2026EURCPI y/y●●●in 3 days
  • November 11, 2026EURCPI m/m●●●in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 4h 100%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.48
▼ VORTEX Cross Down indicator 1.54
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.53
▲ Long Line Bullish candlestick 1.23
▲ CTI OS Entry indicator 1.03

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish signals are firing on the 4H, but the overall trend remains strongly bearish across all timeframes.
  • The setup may represent a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal; watch for resistance at 0.92621.
  • Support at 0.91300 is the key level to hold for the bullish case to remain valid.
  • Higher timeframe bearish momentum (4/5 on 4H and 12H) argues for caution with any long position.
The EUR/CHF 4H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators — a Stochastic Fast KD cross up, a CTI oversold entry, an HMA break up, a Vortex cross down, and a Long Line Bullish candlestick — suggesting a potential short-term bounce within a broader downtrend. However, the trend across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to daily is bearish, with the 4H and 12H showing very strong bearish momentum (4/5). This creates a conflict: the signal is counter-trend, and the bullish setup may be a corrective rally rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.92621 and nearest support at 0.91300. A break above resistance would signal stronger bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish case and likely accelerate the downtrend. Given the strong bearish trend on higher timeframes, any long position should be treated as tactical, with tight risk management and a clear invalidation level.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple bullish signals converging on the 4H timeframe, including a Stochastic cross up and a Long Line Bullish candlestick.
  • ▲ The CTI oversold entry suggests the market may be due for a technical rebound.
  • ▲ The HMA break up indicates a short-term shift in momentum that could fuel a bounce.
  • ▲ Vortex cross down confirms a potential reversal in trend direction at the 4H level.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Strong bearish trend on higher timeframes (4H and 12H at 4/5) could overwhelm the bullish setup.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.92621 is nearby and may cap upside, leading to a failed bounce.
  • ▼ If price breaks below support at 0.91300, the bullish signals are invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
  • ▼ Counter-trend signals have a higher failure rate; momentum could fade quickly if the bounce lacks volume.
Symbol EUR/CHF
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-05 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.92621 2026-10-26
R2 0.92871 2026-10-20
R3 0.93348 2026-10-14
S1 0.91300 2026-11-03

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