EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-06 08:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.01 %

Entry

176.541

Target

177.990 +0.82 %

closes in profit

Stop

175.513 −0.58 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Up, Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), CCI OS Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,048 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

07:00TodayEURCPI y/y●●●in 6h
07:00TodayEURCPI m/m●●●in 6h
09:00TomorrowEURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 08:30 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.36
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.15
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.93
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.65
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.10
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	1.03

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the overall trend is still bearish.
Key resistance at 177.990 and support at 176.474 define the trading range for this bounce.
The Fibonacci break up-trend at 24% adds confluence to the bullish case, but the trend conflict lowers confidence.
Watch for a break above resistance to confirm the bounce, or a drop below support to invalidate it.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a CCI oversold exit, a STOCHRSI cross up, a retreat from the lower Bollinger Band, a break above the HMA, and a Fibonacci break up-trend at 24%. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent bearish momentum is stalling and that a short-term corrective bounce is underway. The presence of a Northern Doji and a Shooting Star candlestick pattern adds nuance, hinting at potential indecision but also a possible shift in sentiment near the lows.

However, the broader trend remains bearish across all timeframes, with the 30-minute and 1-hour charts showing solid downtrends. This creates a conflict between the short-term bullish signals and the longer-term bearish trend. The nearest resistance at 177.990 is a critical level; a break above it could signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to hold above the nearest support at 176.474 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, with limited upside expectations unless higher timeframes turn bullish.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold indicators (CCI, STOCHRSI) aligning for a bounce.
▲ Price retreating from the lower Bollinger Band, a common reversal trigger.
▲ HMA break and Fibonacci break up-trend provide technical confluence.
▲ Candlestick patterns (Northern Doji, Shooting Star) hint at potential reversal near lows.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend on higher timeframes could resume, capping the bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 177.990 is a strong barrier; failure to break it may lead to a rollover.
▼ Momentum could fade quickly if the bounce fails to attract follow-through buying.
▼ A drop below the nearest support at 176.474 would invalidate the bullish signals and likely extend the downtrend.