NZD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW

2026-11-06 16:00 UTC 48 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.09 %

Entry

0.55486

Target

0.55264 +0.40 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56581 −1.97 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,632 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,632 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 5 % (0.91) ▼ Bearish 95 % (17.46)

model score 95.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

20:00TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 2h
18:00November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 3 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.34
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.31
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.26
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.12
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.83
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals (BOP, STOCHF, EMA, MIDPRICE, SMA, ERI, Northern Doji) on the 1H chart indicates strong selling pressure.
All timeframes from 15M to 1D are aligned bearish, with the 1H trend rated very strong (4/5).
Immediate resistance is at 0.56581; no support level is defined, leaving downside open.
The high probability (95%) and very strong signal strength suggest a high-conviction bearish move.

The NZD/USD 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down, ERI BULL Zero Cross Down, and a Northern Doji. This confluence of momentum, trend, and candlestick signals points to strong selling pressure, with the market likely to continue lower. The bearish alignment across all timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily, reinforces the conviction behind this move, with the 1H timeframe showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 30M, 2H, 12H, and 1D all showing solid trends (3/5).

Immediate resistance is identified at 0.56581, a level that could act as a pivot if price retraces. However, with no clear support level defined, the downside potential remains open, and the path of least resistance is lower. Traders should watch for a continuation of the bearish momentum, with any bounce towards resistance likely to be met with renewed selling pressure. The strong trend scores across multiple timeframes suggest that this is not a mere pullback but a sustained move, and the signal's high probability (95%) and very strong strength underscore the robustness of the bearish case.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple indicator types (momentum, trend, candlestick) all pointing down.
▼ Bearish alignment across all timeframes, with the 1H showing a very strong trend.
▼ Northern Doji candlestick pattern adds to the bearish reversal sentiment.
▼ No nearby support levels, allowing for potential extended downside.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M, 4H, and 8H timeframes show only a 'trend forming' (2/5), which could indicate weaker conviction on those horizons and potential for consolidation.
▲ A break back above the 0.56581 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ If momentum fades and the STOCHF and BOP turn up, the sell signal could be premature.
▲ Given the lack of a defined support level, a sharp reversal could occur if the market finds an unexpected floor.