NZD/USD – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-06 14:00 UTC 56 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

0.55425

Target

0.56516 +1.97 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.54512 −1.65 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 611 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 611 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.44 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Bottom, Trendline Break Up, STOCH KD Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % – first candle

MODERATE Swing

▲ Bullish 71 % (7.40) ▼ Bearish 29 % (3.06)

model score 70.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 983 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

20:00TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 1h
18:00November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 2 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Double Bottombreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.57
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	1.97
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	1.92
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.27
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.10
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.03
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.94
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	0.69

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bullish signals on the 4H chart suggests a potential reversal, but the higher-timeframe trend is still bearish.
The Double Bottom and Trendline Break are key patterns to watch; a break above 0.56516 would add confirmation.
Momentum indicators (STOCH, BOP, ADX) support the bullish case, but the 1H and daily trends are strongly bearish.
No defined support level means downside risk is open if the reversal fails.

The NZD/USD 4H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a Trendline Break Up, a Double Bottom pattern, and an ADX Trend Strong reading, suggesting that downside momentum may be exhausting and a reversal could be underway. The STOCH KD Cross Up and BOP Zero Cross Up add confirmation of improving buying pressure, while the HMA Retreat Up and ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down (which in this context aligns with a bullish signal) reinforce the short-term bullish tilt. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 1H showing a very strong downtrend and the daily timeframe in a solid bearish trend. This creates a divergence between the immediate 4H signals and the higher-timeframe trend, meaning the bullish move may be a counter-trend correction rather than a full reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.56516, which aligns with a potential barrier that could cap upside. A break above this level would strengthen the bullish case, while a failure to hold recent lows would invalidate the Double Bottom and Trendline Break signals. The lack of a defined nearest support level adds uncertainty, as it leaves the downside open if the reversal fails. Traders should monitor price action around the resistance and the 4H trendline to gauge whether the bullish momentum can overcome the prevailing bearish pressure.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals fired on the 4H timeframe, including a Trendline Break Up and a Double Bottom pattern.
▲ ADX indicates a strong trend, which in this context supports the emerging bullish move.
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up and BOP Zero Cross Up confirm improving buying momentum.
▲ The HMA Retreat Up and ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down align with the bullish reversal signal.

Risk Factors

▼ The broader trend across all timeframes is bearish, with the 1H showing a very strong downtrend that could overwhelm the 4H reversal.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.56516 may cap upside; a failure to break above it could lead to a pullback.
▼ The absence of a defined support level means there is no clear invalidation point, increasing uncertainty.
▼ Momentum signals could fade if the bearish higher-timeframe trend reasserts itself.