USD/CHF – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-06 16:00 UTC 56 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

0.82012

Target

0.81326 +0.84 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.83127 −1.36 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,019 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,019 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

21 % at target avg +0.42 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 23 % (5.14) ▼ Bearish 77 % (17.16)

model score 76.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 14.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 758 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

20:00TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 1h
18:00November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 2 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.67
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.47
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	2.32
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.74
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	1.61
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.46
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.19

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple overbought exit signals (STOCH, WILLR) and upper Bollinger Band retreat suggest the recent rally is losing steam.
The 200-period EMAs and SMAs are acting as resistance, reinforcing the bearish bias on the 2H chart.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are in solid downtrends, supporting the SELL signal despite weak short-term trend scores.
Watch the 0.82171 resistance and 0.81326 support for confirmation or invalidation of the move.

The 2H USD/CHF SELL signal is driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators aligning in bearish territory. ADX Trend Weak suggests the current downtrend on the 2H may lack strong momentum, but the simultaneous exits from overbought conditions on the Stochastic and Williams %R indicate that the recent upward push has run its course. The retreats from the upper Bollinger Band and the 200-period EMAs further confirm that price is being rejected from resistance, while the Hilbert Transform signals (Inphase Cross Down and Mode to Cycle) point to a shift in the cyclical component favoring downside. The confluence of these indicators, despite the weak ADX reading, suggests a high-probability pullback from the recent highs.

Across timeframes, there is a clear divergence: shorter timeframes (15m to 2H) are still bullish but with weak trend scores (1-2/5) and choppy behavior, while the 4H, 8H, and 12H are solidly bearish (3/5). This mixed alignment often precedes a reversal when the higher timeframe trend reasserts itself. The 1D is also bearish but choppy, reinforcing the overall bearish bias. The nearest resistance at 0.82171 aligns with the upper Bollinger Band and the 200-period moving averages, providing a strong ceiling. The nearest support at 0.81326 is the immediate downside target; a break below this level could accelerate the move, while a failure to hold above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple overbought exit signals (STOCH, WILLR) and upper Bollinger Band retreat.
▼ Price rejection from the 200-period EMAs and SMAs, aligning with the nearest resistance at 0.82171.
▼ Solid bearish trends on 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes, providing a stronger directional bias.
▼ Hilbert Transform signals (Inphase Cross Down, Mode to Cycle) indicate a shift in the cyclical trend favoring downside.

Risk Factors

▲ ADX Trend Weak on the 2H indicates the current downtrend may lack momentum, and a pullback could be limited.
▲ Shorter timeframes (15m-2H) are still bullish, which could delay or reverse the bearish move if they regain strength.
▲ A break above the 0.82171 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The 1D trend is only choppy/sideways (1/5), suggesting the larger daily picture is not fully aligned with the bearish bias.