USD/JPY – 1D – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-11-05 22:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.09 %

Entry

158.532

Target

159.038 +0.32 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.075 −1.55 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 7,445 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,445 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.20 % 12 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 50 Retreat Up, ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish, MIDPRICE Retreat Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +21.3 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 98 % (41.74) ▼ Bearish 2 % (0.93)

model score 97.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.7 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 803 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	2.58
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	2.23
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.19
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	2.18
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.94
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.88
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▲	DPO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.61
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.97
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.93

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Daily chart shows a strong cluster of bullish momentum signals, suggesting a potential short-term reversal.
Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) remain bearish, so this is a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
Watch the nearest resistance at 158.94900 for confirmation; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case.
The nearest support at 156.07500 is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish signals.

The USD/JPY daily chart is firing a dense cluster of bullish momentum signals, including a BOP zero cross up, CMO zero cross up, RSI midline cross up, STOCHF KD cross up, and WILLR oversold entry, alongside a BBANDS middle cross up and retreats up from the SMA 50 and MIDPRICE. This broad-based indicator alignment suggests that downside pressure is exhausting and buyers are stepping in, with the majority of signals pointing to a shift toward bullish momentum on the daily timeframe.

However, the higher-timeframe trend remains firmly bearish across the 2H through 1D charts, all showing choppy/sideways conditions with a bearish bias. The bullish signals are therefore occurring within a larger downtrend, making this a counter-trend setup. The nearest resistance at 158.94900 is the immediate hurdle; a decisive break above it would confirm the bullish reversal, while the nearest support at 156.07500 is the key level to watch — a loss of this support would invalidate the bullish case and likely resume the broader downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, WILLR) all crossing up simultaneously, indicating strong buying pressure.
▲ Price retreating up from the SMA 50 and MIDPRICE, showing that moving averages are providing dynamic support.
▲ The BBANDS middle cross up suggests volatility is expanding in favor of upside movement.
▲ High signal probability (91%) and very strong strength score indicate a high-confidence setup.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframe trend (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) is bearish, which could overpower the daily bullish signals.
▼ The market is choppy/sideways across all timeframes, increasing the risk of false signals and whipsaws.
▼ If price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 158.94900, the bullish momentum could fade quickly.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 156.07500 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.