USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-11-06 17:00 UTC 57 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %

Entry

158.274

Target

158.674 +0.25 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.255 −0.64 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,632 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,632 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Intraday

▲ Bullish 83 % (22.66) ▼ Bearish 17 % (4.54)

model score 83.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 983 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

20:00TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 1h
18:00November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 2 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.40
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.38
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.37
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.31
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.30
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.30
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.26
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	Hammer	candlestick	1.26
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish 1H signal conflicts with a strong bearish trend across all timeframes.
Multiple moving-average retreats and momentum crossovers suggest short-term buying pressure.
Resistance at 158.50400 and support at 157.25500 are the key levels to monitor.
A break below support would invalidate the bullish setup and favor the dominant downtrend.

The USD/JPY 1H signal fires a strong bullish cluster (83% probability) driven by a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA) that suggest short-term buying pressure is emerging. However, the broader trend context is firmly bearish and choppy across all timeframes from 15m to 1D, with trend scores at 1/5, indicating weak momentum and persistent downside bias. This creates a counter-trend setup where the signal may represent a corrective bounce within a larger downtrend rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.50400 and support at 157.25500. A break above resistance could signal stronger bullish follow-through, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish case and likely resume the dominant downtrend. The confluence of multiple bullish indicators on the 1H timeframe provides a short-term edge, but traders should be cautious given the lack of higher-timeframe alignment.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of bullish signals: BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and four moving-average retreats.
▲ Strong signal probability (83%) and high strength indicate robust short-term momentum.
▲ Price holding above nearest support at 157.25500 provides a base for potential upside.

Risk Factors

▼ All timeframes show bearish, choppy/sideways trends with low scores, suggesting weak underlying momentum.
▼ The signal is counter-trend; a failure to break resistance at 158.50400 could lead to a reversal lower.
▼ Loss of support at 157.25500 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely accelerate the downtrend.
▼ Conflicting higher timeframe trends may limit the duration and extent of any bounce.