USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-06 00:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.30 %

Entry

157.775

Target

158.504 +0.46 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.397 −0.24 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,711 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,711 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), WILLR OS Exit, SMI Signal Cross Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,048 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

17:00TodayUSDWASDE Report●●○in 22m
17:00TodayUSDEIA Short-Term Energy Outlook●●○in 22m
18:00TodayUSD10-Year Note Auction●●○in 1h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.18
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.97
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.84
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.77
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.69
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.42
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.32
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.11
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	1.07
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.05

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

All 13 indicators on the 1H chart are bullish, signaling a strong potential reversal.
The pair is rebounding from oversold conditions, with multiple oscillators crossing upward.
Key resistance at 158.50400 must be broken to confirm the bullish move.
The bearish trend on lower timeframes (15m, 30m) conflicts with the 1H signal, so caution is advised.

The USD/JPY 1H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 95% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of 13 indicators all pointing upward. The BOP Zero Cross Up signals a shift in buying pressure, while CCI OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, and BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicate the pair is rebounding from oversold conditions. The STOCH KD Cross Up, KDJ Cross Up, and SMI Signal Cross Up confirm bullish momentum, and the ER Level Cross Down suggests trend efficiency is improving. Additionally, the signal draws from candlestick, fibonacci, and indicator groups, adding layers of confirmation.

However, the trend across all timeframes is bearish, with the strongest bearish trend on the 15m (4/5) and 30m (3/5) timeframes, while higher timeframes (2H and above) are choppy/sideways. This creates a conflict: the 1H signal is bullish, but the broader trend is down. The nearest resistance at 158.50400 is a critical level; a break above it would validate the bullish reversal, while the nearest support at 157.39700 serves as the invalidation zone. The alignment of multiple oscillators and the strong signal strength suggest a potential short-term bounce, but traders should be cautious given the bearish higher timeframe trend.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of 13 bullish signals across candlestick, fibonacci, and indicator groups.
▲ Multiple oversold exits (CCI, WILLR) and bullish crosses (STOCH, KDJ, SMI) indicate strong momentum shift.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up shows buying pressure is increasing.
▲ The signal's very strong strength and 95% probability suggest high reliability.

Risk Factors

▼ The bearish trend across all timeframes, especially strong on 15m and 30m, could overpower the 1H bullish signal.
▼ If price fails to break resistance at 158.50400, the bullish move may stall.
▼ A drop below support at 157.39700 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Higher timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear trend direction.