USD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-06 02:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.10 %

Entry

157.808

Target

157.397 +0.26 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.768 −0.61 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,060 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,060 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.42 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.23 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish, MA Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30November 12, 2026USDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00November 12, 2026USDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	2.31
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	1.98
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.92
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.69
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.68
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.67
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.48
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.48
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.44
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.42
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.29
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.86

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal has fired on the 2H USD/JPY, backed by multiple momentum and moving-average indicators.
All timeframes from 15m to 1d are bearish, but higher timeframes are choppy/sideways, so the trend is not yet robust.
Watch the nearest resistance at 158.76800; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
The nearest support at 157.39700 is the first key downside target.

The USD/JPY 2H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum indicators, including BOP, MOM, and ROC zero-line cross downs, alongside multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA) and a lower-band retreat on Bollinger Bands. This combination points to a broad-based loss of upside momentum and a shift toward selling pressure. The 84% probability and strong strength rating reflect the confluence of signals across indicator, Fibonacci, and candlestick groups, suggesting that the bearish move is not isolated to a single technical measure.

Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish, though the trend is still forming on lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) and choppy/sideways on higher timeframes (2H and above). This means the short-term momentum is clearly down, but the higher-timeframe trend is not yet established. The nearest resistance at 158.76800 is a key level to watch; a break back above it would invalidate the bearish setup. On the downside, the nearest support at 157.39700 is the first target where selling pressure may stall. The alignment of momentum indicators and the consistent bearish bias across all timeframes support the signal, but the lack of a solid higher-timeframe trend warrants caution.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing below zero.
▼ Moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA) and a Bollinger Band lower retreat reinforce the bearish momentum.
▼ Consistent bearish bias across all timeframes, even if higher timeframes are choppy.
▼ Strong signal probability (84%) and strength rating.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H and above) are only choppy/sideways, lacking a solid downtrend.
▲ A break back above the nearest resistance at 158.76800 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ The trend is still forming on lower timeframes, so momentum could fade quickly.
▲ Fibonacci and candlestick signals may add confluence, but if price stalls at support, the move could reverse.