BTC/USDT – 12H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 1× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.12 %
Entry
75,984.50
Target
81,971.00 +7.88 %
closes in profit
Stop
74,967.97 −1.34 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.10 % per trade 783 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 783 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
23 % at target avg +5.10 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.70 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.75 % 17 % at stop avg −5.94 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 23 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Retreat Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,887 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
63.8 % ↑ +19.2 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +1% Position
▲ Bullish 88 % (11.68) ▼ Bearish 12 % (1.60)
model score 87.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.1 % vs 31.7 % on average · stopped out 31.9 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 2,341 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
BTC/USDT  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%in 1 day
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 1 day
  • November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 12h 88%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ZLMA Retreat Up indicator 1.65
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.58
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.56
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.46
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.40
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.38
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.36
▲ Inverted Hammer candlestick 1.09
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.74

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong buy signal on 12H, but it is counter-trend against the bearish 1H-1D structure.
  • Key resistance at 81971.00; a break above confirms the bullish reversal.
  • Support at 74967.97 is the invalidation level; losing it negates the buy signal.
  • Mixed signals (TSI cross down) and choppy lower timeframes warrant caution.
The BTC/USDT 12H signal is a strong BUY (87% probability, very strong strength) driven by a cluster of indicator and candlestick signals. The BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up point to improving buying pressure and momentum, while the BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up and HMA/ZLMA Retreat Up suggest price is bouncing off lower volatility bands and trend-following averages. The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up adds a cycle-based bullish tilt, and the Inverted Hammer at a potential support zone reinforces a reversal attempt. However, the TSI Signal Cross Down signals a conflicting momentum shift, so the signal is not entirely one-sided.

Across timeframes, the trend is mixed: the 15m and 30m are bullish but choppy, while the 1H through 1D are bearish, with the 2H and 4H showing solid downtrends. This means the 12H buy signal is counter-trend against the higher-timeframe bearish structure. The nearest resistance at 81971.00 is the key barrier; a break above would confirm the reversal and open the path toward higher levels. The nearest support at 74967.97 is the critical invalidation zone—if price loses this level, the bullish case collapses and the bearish trend likely resumes.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicator confluences (BOP, STOCHF, BBANDS, HMA, ZLMA) all pointing up.
  • ▲ Inverted Hammer candlestick at support suggests a potential reversal.
  • ▲ Higher probability (87%) and very strong strength score.
  • ▲ Price holding above the nearest support zone.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H-1D) are bearish, so the signal is counter-trend.
  • ▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicates potential momentum weakness.
  • ▼ Choppy price action on 15m/30m could lead to false signals.
  • ▼ A break below 74967.97 support invalidates the bullish setup.
Symbol BTC/USDT
Timeframe 12H
Direction BUY
Conviction 88%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-07 00:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 81,971.00000 2026-10-29
R2 84,898.00000 2026-10-21
R3 87,220.00000 2026-10-02
S1 74,967.97000 2026-09-15
S2 62,535.24000 2026-08-14

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