ETH/BTC – 4H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED

2026-11-07 04:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.24 %

Entry

0.02952

Target

0.02835 +3.96 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.03053 −3.42 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,091 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,091 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.63 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.73 % 21 % at stop avg −3.74 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER MID Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, KAMA Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,887 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

63.8 % – vs previous candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +20% Swing

▲ Bullish 12 % (4.57) ▼ Bearish 88 % (33.77)

model score 88.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 22.3 % vs 31.7 % on average · stopped out 26.1 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 3,213 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Nov 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.75
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.44
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.28
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.12
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.03
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.03
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.01
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.79

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A massive bearish confluence on the 4H chart suggests strong short-term downside momentum.
The nearest support at 0.02835 is the key level to watch for a potential bounce or breakdown.
Higher timeframes (daily, 8H, 12H) remain bullish, so this could be a pullback within a larger uptrend.
A move back above 0.03053 would invalidate the bearish signal and signal a potential reversal.

The 4H signal stack is overwhelmingly bearish, with 11 indicators firing sell signals simultaneously. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure is overtaking buying pressure, while the CMO Zero Cross Down and RSI Midline Cross Down confirm momentum shifting to the downside. The retreat of multiple moving averages (DEMA, KAMA, MA, and MAMA PRICE) further reinforces that price is pulling back from recent highs. This confluence of momentum and trend-following signals points to a potential continuation of the downward move, with the nearest support at 0.02835 as the immediate downside target.

However, the higher timeframes tell a mixed story. The daily and 8H/12H trends remain bullish, with the daily showing a solid trend (3/5). This suggests the current selloff could be a correction within a larger uptrend rather than a full reversal. The 4H trend itself is still labeled bullish but choppy (1/5), which adds uncertainty. Traders should watch the 0.03053 resistance level; a reclaim of that level would invalidate the bearish signal, while a break below 0.02835 would open the door for further downside.

Catalysts

▼ Eleven indicators firing sell signals simultaneously, indicating a very strong bearish confluence.
▼ Momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF) all crossing below their midlines, confirming downside momentum.
▼ Multiple moving averages retreating, suggesting price is pulling back from recent highs.
▼ The 1H and 2H trends are bearish, aligning with the 4H signal.

Risk Factors

▲ The daily, 8H, and 12H trends are bullish, which could mean this selloff is only a correction within a larger uptrend.
▲ The 4H trend is still labeled bullish (though choppy), conflicting with the bearish signal.
▲ The nearest resistance at 0.03053 is close; a reclaim of that level would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum could fade if the price stalls near support and fails to break below 0.02835.