BTC/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW CLOSED

2026-11-08 12:00 UTC 18 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −1.56 %

Entry

76,073.74

Target

81,196.01 +6.73 %

closes in profit

Stop

74,888.00 −1.56 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,155 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,155 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.60 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.71 % 21 % at stop avg −3.66 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Regular Bull Div, AO Regular Bull Div, RSI Regular Bull Div +7 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 22.1 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 26.4 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 3,252 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MACD Regular Bull Div	divergence	3.08
▲	AO Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.66
▲	RSI Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.59
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.28
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.27
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.20
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.54
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on 4H, but it is a counter-trend move against the higher timeframe downtrend.
Multiple retreat-up patterns and momentum crossovers suggest a short-term bounce toward resistance at 81,196.
Key support at 74,888 is the invalidation level; a break below would negate the bullish setup.
Higher timeframe bearish trends (2H-12H) cap upside potential and increase the risk of a failed bounce.

The 4H BTC/USDT signal fires a bullish BUY with very strong strength (92% probability), driven by a confluence of indicator, candlestick, and divergence signals. The retreat-up patterns (DEMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, ALMA) suggest that price is pulling back to a dynamic support zone, while the Vortex Cross Up and ERI Bull Zero Cross Up confirm bullish momentum is reasserting. The STOCHF KD Cross Down and HT Phasor Inphase Cross Down indicate that short-term momentum has reset from overbought conditions, which often precedes a continuation move in an uptrend. However, the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are all in a solid bearish trend, while lower timeframes (15m-1H) are only weakly bullish and choppy. This creates a conflicting picture: the signal is a counter-trend bounce within a broader downtrend. The nearest resistance at 81,196 is the key hurdle; a break above would shift the bias, while support at 74,888 is the invalidation zone. The bullish setup is most reliable if price holds above the dynamic averages and pushes through resistance, but traders should be cautious given the stronger bearish trend on higher timeframes.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals (Vortex Cross Up, ERI Bull Zero Cross Up, and retreat-up patterns) increases the probability of a bounce.
▲ Lower timeframe momentum reset (STOCHF KD Cross Down, HT Phasor Inphase Cross Down) provides room for upside without overbought pressure.
▲ Price is near the nearest support at 74,888, where buyers may step in, aligning with the bullish signal.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe bearish trends (2H-12H) are solid and may overpower the 4H bullish signal, leading to a failed bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 81,196 is a significant barrier; failure to break above could trigger a reversal back down.
▼ Lower timeframes are choppy and only weakly bullish, indicating lack of strong momentum to sustain the move.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 74,888, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend resumes.