ADA/USDT – 12H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED

2026-11-09 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −2.05 %

Entry

0.1760

Target

0.2824 +60.45 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.1712 −2.73 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.06 % per trade 816 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 816 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +5.12 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.71 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.78 % 18 % at stop avg −5.96 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit +4 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

62.9 % ↓ −0.9 vs previous candle

STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 81 % (8.11) ▼ Bearish 19 % (1.91)

model score 80.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 16.9 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 32.4 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 2,408 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for ADA/USDT

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSD10-Year Note Auction●●○in 1h
13:30November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00November 12, 2026USDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 12:03 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.83
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.40
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.30
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.30
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.13
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.10
▲	Tweezers Bottom	candlestick	0.93
▲	High Wave Bullish	candlestick	0.86

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals fired on the 12H chart, including RSI oversold exit and a Tweezers Bottom, suggesting a potential short-term bounce.
The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, so this signal may be a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal.
Key levels: resistance at 0.28240 and support at 0.17120; a break above resistance could confirm bullish momentum, while a break below support would invalidate the signal.
The probability is high (81%) with strong strength, but traders should manage risk given the conflicting higher timeframe trends.

The ADA/USDT 12H chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI exiting oversold, a STOCH KD Cross Up, a High Wave Bullish candlestick, and a Tweezers Bottom. These signals collectively suggest that selling pressure is exhausting and that a short-term bounce is likely. The KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat and ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit further confirm that price has been stretched to extreme lows, increasing the probability of a mean-reversion move. However, the broader trend across timeframes remains bearish, with strong bearish trends on the 2H, 8H, and 12H charts, and solid bearish trends on the 1H, 4H, and 1D. This creates a conflict between the short-term bullish signals and the longer-term downtrend.

Traders should watch the nearest resistance at 0.28240 as the primary upside target, while the nearest support at 0.17120 serves as the key invalidation level. If price can hold above support and break through resistance, the bullish momentum could extend. However, given the strong bearish trends on higher timeframes, any bounce may be limited and could be an opportunity to sell into strength rather than a reversal signal. The confluence of multiple bullish indicators at extreme lows does raise the probability of a bounce, but the trend alignment remains a significant headwind.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (BOP, RSI, STOCH, KELTNER, ZSCORE) at extreme lows.
▲ Candlestick patterns (High Wave Bullish and Tweezers Bottom) indicate a potential reversal.
▲ RSI and Stochastic both exiting oversold territory suggest buying momentum is building.
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit signals that price is statistically stretched below its mean, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Strong bearish trends on 2H, 8H, and 12H timeframes could overpower the bullish signals and limit upside.
▼ The 1H and 4H trends are also bearish, indicating that the bounce may be short-lived.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 0.17120, the bullish signal is invalidated and a deeper decline could follow.
▼ Momentum may fade quickly if the bounce fails to break through the nearest resistance at 0.28240.