ADA/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 3× UPDATED

2026-11-09 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +1.47 %

Entry

0.1764

Target

0.2015 +14.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.1708 −3.16 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,155 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,155 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.60 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.71 % 21 % at stop avg −3.66 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.2 % ↑ +19.3 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Swing

▲ Bullish 67 % (5.08) ▼ Bearish 33 % (2.54)

model score 66.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.8 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 43.8 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 4,470 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for ADA/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 6h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 6h
13:30TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 04:03 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.32
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.22

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on 4H are counter-trend against a strong bearish bias across all timeframes.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.20150; a break could confirm a short-term reversal.
The signal is driven by oscillators, not trend-following indicators, so it may be a bounce rather than a new uptrend.
Given the lack of defined support, use strict stop-losses to manage risk.

The 4H ADA/USDT signal combines several oscillator-based indicators, suggesting a potential short-term bullish reversal within a broader bearish trend. The BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying pressure, while the STOCHF KD Cross Up and Keltner Lower Retreat point to a bounce from oversold conditions. However, the STOCH KD Cross Down adds a note of caution, as it may signal that the momentum is not yet fully confirmed. The signal's moderate strength and 71% probability suggest a tactical long opportunity rather than a trend reversal.

Across timeframes, the trend is bearish from 15m up to 1D, with the 12H showing a very strong downtrend. This means the bullish signal is counter-trend on all higher timeframes. The nearest resistance at 0.20150 is a key level to watch; a break above it could signal a stronger reversal, while failure to hold above current levels may lead to continued downside. Support is not defined, so risk management is crucial.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillator signals (BOP, STOCHF, Keltner) align to suggest a bounce from oversold conditions.
▲ The 4H timeframe shows a moderate probability (71%) of a bullish move, indicating some statistical edge.
▲ A retreat from the Keltner Lower Band often precedes a short-term price recovery.
▲ The signal appears at a time when selling pressure may be exhausting, as indicated by the BOP zero cross.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes, especially the very strong 12H downtrend, could overwhelm the bullish signal.
▼ The STOCH KD Cross Down suggests that momentum is not uniformly bullish, which could limit upside.
▼ If price fails to hold above the current level and breaks below the recent lows, the signal would be invalidated.
▼ No defined support level means there is no clear downside target for stop placement, increasing risk.