AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 20:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.08 %

Entry

0.97807

Target

0.96963 +0.86 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.98006 −0.20 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 856 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowCADWholesale Trade m/m●●○Forecast 0.3%Previous -1.6%in 23h
13:30November 16, 2026CADCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.1%Previous 2.2%in 3 days
13:30November 16, 2026CADCore CPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.0%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.79
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.25
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.05
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.03
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.96

Trend Context

15M

UPExtremely strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 30-minute sell signal is a short-term pullback play against a bullish backdrop on lower timeframes.
Watch the 0.97969 resistance and 0.96963 support for direction confirmation.
Momentum and candlestick signals align to suggest near-term bearish pressure.
Higher timeframe trends are mixed, so treat this as a scalp rather than a trend reversal.

The 30-minute SELL signal on AUD/CAD is driven by a cluster of momentum and candlestick signals, including ADXR Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, a Long Legged Doji, and a Tweezers Top. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent bullish push on the 30-minute chart is losing steam, with the doji and tweezers top highlighting exhaustion near a resistance area. However, the higher timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 4h) remain bullish, which creates a conflicting backdrop for this counter-trend sell signal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.97969, which has capped upside, and support at 0.96963. The signal's probability of 74% with moderate strength suggests a short-term pullback rather than a major reversal. The bullish trend on the 4-hour chart and the bearish trend on the 8-hour and 12-hour charts indicate a mixed larger picture. Traders should monitor price action around the resistance and support levels, as a break below support could confirm the bearish move, while a hold above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ A cluster of momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, KDJ, HMA) all point down, increasing confluence.
▼ Candlestick patterns (Long Legged Doji, Tweezers Top) signal exhaustion near resistance.
▼ ADXR Trend Strong confirms a trending environment, adding weight to the directional signal.
▼ Resistance at 0.97969 is nearby, providing a logical level for sellers to defend.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are strongly bullish, which could overpower the sell signal.
▲ The 4-hour trend is bullish, suggesting the larger upward move may resume after a pullback.
▲ A break above 0.97969 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum fading could lead to a sideways consolidation instead of a clear decline.