AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 02:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.11 %

Entry

0.97289

Target

0.96490 +0.82 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.97969 −0.70 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.9 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 805 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowCADBuilding Permits m/m●●○Forecast -5.9%Previous 8.8%in 17h
13:30November 13, 2026CADWholesale Trade m/m●●○Forecast 0.3%Previous -1.6%in 1 day
13:30November 16, 2026CADCore CPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.0%in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.65
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.60
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.43
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.40
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish momentum, moving-average, and volatility-band retreat signals fires on the 30m chart, pointing to a strong near-term sell opportunity.
The bearish signal aligns with the 4h to 12h and daily bearish trends, but lower timeframes (15m to 2h) are still bullish or choppy, creating a mixed outlook.
Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 0.97299 (invalidation) and nearest support at 0.96490 (target).
Probability is 90% with very strong strength, but the conflicting lower-timeframe bias suggests caution; the move could be a pullback within a larger bullish structure.

The 30-minute AUD/CAD chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, KDJ OB Exit, HMA Retreat Down, ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat, and KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat. This confluence of momentum, moving-average, and volatility-band retreats points to a strong near-term rejection from upper levels, with the probability rated at 90% and strength very strong. The signal aligns with the broader daily and 4h-to-12h bearish trends, which are in solid or forming phases, suggesting the pullback could extend toward the nearest support at 0.96490.

While the higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h) are bearish, the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h) are still bullish or choppy, which creates a mixed picture. The immediate resistance at 0.97299 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. The presence of multiple retreat signals from the upper bands and moving averages adds weight to the downside case, but the conflicting lower-timeframe bullish bias means the sell-off could be corrective rather than a full trend reversal. Traders should monitor price action around support and resistance to gauge the strength of the move.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple indicator retreat signals (BOP, STOCHF, EMA/SMA 200, KDJ, HMA, ACCBANDS, KELTNER) all pointing lower.
▼ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h) are in solid bearish trends, providing a backdrop for downside continuation.
▼ Price is retreating from upper bands (ACCBANDS and KELTNER), indicating a rejection from overbought conditions.
▼ The signal's high probability (90%) and very strong strength suggest a high-confidence setup.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m to 2h) are still bullish or choppy, which could lead to a bounce or sideways consolidation before further downside.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.97299 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The 30m trend is only 1/5 strength and choppy, so momentum may fade quickly, especially if the 1h and 2h timeframes turn more bullish.
▲ The signal is on a 30m chart, so it is short-term; a broader trend reversal or news event could override the technical setup.