AUD/CAD – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW

2026-11-09 02:00 UTC 18 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.62 %

Entry

0.97138

Target

0.96628 +0.52 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.98006 −0.89 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 624 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 624 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.45 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.32 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 20 % (4.89) ▼ Bearish 80 % (19.58)

model score 3.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30November 12, 2026CADBuilding Permits m/m●●○Forecast -5.9%Previous 8.8%in 2 days
13:30November 13, 2026CADWholesale Trade m/m●●○Forecast 0.3%Previous -1.6%in 3 days
13:30November 16, 2026CADCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.1%Previous 2.2%in 6 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	2.25
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.50
▲	RSX OS Exit	indicator	1.50
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.49
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.44
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.40
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.33
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.26
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.14
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.08
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.99

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 4H chart with multiple indicator retreats and momentum crosses.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are aligned bearish, supporting the sell signal.
Key resistance at 0.98006 is the immediate invalidation level; a break above it would weaken the bearish case.
Lower timeframes (30m-2H) are bullish or choppy, so expect possible pullbacks before continuation.

The AUD/CAD 4H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and multiple retreat signals (EMA, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT, and HT TRENDLINE), all pointing to sustained downside momentum. The trend structure supports the sell bias: the 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes are all in solid bearish trends (3/5 strength), while the 1D is also bearish but still forming. However, the lower timeframes show mixed signals—15m is bearish but only forming, while 30m to 2H are bullish or choppy—which suggests the immediate-term pullback risk is elevated.

Key levels to watch: the nearest resistance sits at 0.98006, which aligns with the recent swing high and should act as a ceiling if price retraces. Since no nearest support is defined, the downside target is open, but traders should monitor the 4H trendline and the 0.98006 level for invalidation. A break above 0.98006 would negate the bearish setup, while a failure to hold recent lows could signal momentum exhaustion.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple retreat signals (EMA, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT, HT TRENDLINE) confirm a broad-based bearish alignment.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure is overcoming buying pressure.
▼ Solid bearish trends on 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes provide a strong higher-timeframe backdrop.
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down adds short-term momentum confirmation.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (30m-2H) are bullish or choppy, which could trigger a counter-trend bounce.
▲ The 1D trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so the longer-term bearish conviction is not yet fully established.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.98006 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The DX Trend Weak signal suggests trend strength is not overwhelming, so momentum could fade.