AUD/CAD – 8H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED

2026-11-08 22:00 UTC 18 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.62 %

Entry

0.97138

Target

0.99067 +1.99 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.94348 −2.87 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 346 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 346 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.67 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.63 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Up, ZLMA Break Up, CCI OS Exit +4 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 85 % (36.12) ▼ Bearish 15 % (6.37)

model score 85.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.8 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 16.2 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 779 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30November 12, 2026CADBuilding Permits m/m●●○Forecast -5.9%Previous 8.8%in 2 days
13:30November 13, 2026CADWholesale Trade m/m●●○Forecast 0.3%Previous -1.6%in 3 days
13:30November 16, 2026CADCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.1%Previous 2.2%in 6 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.94
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.87
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	1.84
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.68
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.45
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.38

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish reversal signal has fired on the 8H timeframe, backed by multiple oscillators and moving averages.
The higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are still bearish, creating a conflict that favors caution.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.99067 as the key level for confirmation of the upside move.
A break below the recent swing low would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend.

The AUD/CAD 8-hour chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, ER Level Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up, HMA Direction Up, and ZLMA Break Up. This confluence suggests that the recent downside momentum is exhausting and a reversal to the upside is underway. The breadth of signals—from momentum oscillators to trend-following moving averages—points to a coordinated shift in market structure, making the bullish case stronger than if only one or two signals had fired.

However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, with solid trend scores on the 4H, 8H, and 12H. This creates a conflict: the 8H signal is bullish, but the dominant longer-term trend is still down. The nearest resistance at 0.99067 is the immediate hurdle; a break above it would confirm the reversal and potentially shift the higher-timeframe trend. If price fails to hold above the recent lows or stalls below resistance, the bullish signal could be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of eight bullish signals across momentum and trend indicators on the 8H chart.
▲ Oscillator exits from oversold conditions (CCI, BBANDS) suggest selling pressure is exhausting.
▲ Short-term timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h) are already bullish, supporting the early stages of a reversal.
▲ The bullish signal appears on the 8H timeframe, which is the primary trading timeframe for this signal.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, and the solid trend scores there could overpower the 8H bullish signal.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.99067 is a potential ceiling; failure to break above it could lead to a pullback.
▼ The bullish signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, increasing the risk of a false breakout.
▼ A decisive close below the recent swing low would invalidate the signal and likely accelerate selling.