AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL With the trend 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 03:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.17 %

Entry

109.056

Target

108.237 +0.75 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.131 −1.90 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,754 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 50 Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 4 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 4 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.57
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.30
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.72
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.34

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is building on the 1H with multiple overbought exits and moving average retreats.
Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) align bearish, supporting the sell signal.
Watch for a break below 108.23700 to confirm further downside.
The 15M and 30M are still bullish, so expect possible short-term chop before the move continues.

The AUD/JPY 1H signal stack is firmly bearish, with a cluster of momentum and trend indicators aligning to the downside. The APO Zero Cross Up suggests a short-term bullish momentum burst, but this is immediately countered by the BOP Zero Cross Down and the STOCH KD Cross Down, which indicate that buying pressure is fading and bearish momentum is taking over. The WILLR and KDJ both exiting overbought territory further confirm that the recent upside move is losing steam, while the EMA 50 and SMA 50 Retreat Down point to a bearish trend pullback on the 1H timeframe.

Across higher timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent: the 2H, 4H, and 8H all show solid or forming downtrends, reinforcing the 1H signal. However, the 15M and 30M are still bullish and choppy, which could lead to short-term whipsaws. The nearest resistance at 109.15900 is a key level to watch for a potential rejection, while the nearest support at 108.23700 is the immediate downside target. A break below this support would likely accelerate the bearish move.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCH, WILLR, KDJ) confirm fading bullish momentum.
▼ EMA 50 and SMA 50 both retreating down on the 1H, indicating trend pullback.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (2H, 4H, 8H) are bearish, providing confluence.
▼ Resistance at 109.15900 is a likely ceiling for any bounce.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M and 30M are still bullish, which could lead to a short-term bounce against the signal.
▲ The signal strength is weak, so the move may lack conviction.
▲ If price breaks above 109.15900, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Momentum indicators are already overbought, so a sharp reversal could occur if buying pressure returns.