AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY 7× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal
Closed after the holding time · result +0.02 %
Entry
108.995
Target
111.131 +1.96 %
closes in profit
Stop
108.397 −0.55 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 %
33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 %
39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 %
10 % at stop avg −0.35 %
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Up, HT TRENDLINE Break Up, BBANDS UPPER Break Up +23 more
Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 11.1 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 703 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 4 days
- November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 4 days
- November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 4 days
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish momentum on the 30M chart, but the higher timeframes (1H-4H) are firmly bearish.
- Key resistance at 109.159; a break above could extend the bounce, while support at 108.397 is the invalidation zone.
- The signal is a countertrend move—trade with caution and manage risk tightly.
- Watch for a bearish crossover on the 30M or a break below support to confirm the bullish signal has failed.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including CCI, CMO, DI, DM, MOM, ROC, ROCR, and RSI all crossing above their respective zero or midlines, alongside additional candlestick, divergence, and indicator signals. This synchronized momentum burst suggests strong short-term buying pressure, with the signal probability at 97% and very strong strength. However, the broader trend is decisively bearish: the 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes all show solid downtrends, while the 15M and 30M are only mildly bullish and choppy. This creates a clear conflict—the bullish signals are firing against the dominant higher-timeframe trend, likely representing a countertrend bounce or a potential reversal attempt rather than a sustained trend shift.
Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 109.159 and support at 108.397. A decisive break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and could signal a deeper correction, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish case and likely resume the broader downtrend. Given the conflicting timeframes, traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a larger bearish context, with tight risk management and close monitoring of price action at these levels.
Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 109.159 and support at 108.397. A decisive break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and could signal a deeper correction, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish case and likely resume the broader downtrend. Given the conflicting timeframes, traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a larger bearish context, with tight risk management and close monitoring of price action at these levels.
Catalysts
- ▲ A high-probability (97%) cluster of momentum indicators crossing above their midlines on the 30M chart.
- ▲ Additional bullish signals from candlestick, divergence, and indicator groups add confluence.
- ▲ The 15M and 30M timeframes are both bullish, supporting the immediate momentum.
- ▲ The nearest resistance is relatively close, leaving room for a potential test if momentum persists.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes are all in solid downtrends, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish move.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 108.397 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the broader downtrend.
- ▼ The 30M trend is rated as choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating weak trend conviction despite the strong momentum signals.
- ▼ Momentum could fade quickly if price fails to break above resistance, leading to a sharp reversal.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Conviction
95%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-11-09 00:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 109.15900 | 2026-11-06 |
| R2 | 111.13100 | 2026-11-05 |
| R3 | 111.30300 | 2026-11-04 |
| S1 | 108.39700 | 2026-11-06 |
| S2 | 108.23700 | 2026-11-06 |